ANALYZING THE EFFECTS OF SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC SYSTEMS IN TÜRKİYE BY A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL

Date

2023-9-25

Author

İPEK, Ezgi

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Due to its geographical and climatic conditions, Türkiye has a high potential for solar photovoltaic energy. The crucial aspect of this potential is analyzing whether it can turn into domestically produced energy, as the energy supply is already highly dependent on imports, especially fossil fuels. Türkiye Photovoltaic Technology Platform (TFTP) aims to promote high-efficiency solar PV cells and panels, and it is expected that the increased share of domestic production from solar PV energy will have positive macroeconomic and economic effects. This thesis aims to analyze whether the expected outcomes of TFTP can be achieved using a Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) for Türkiye. No other study for Türkiye uses CGE to focus on sole impacts of solar PV energy. An electricity sector detailed social accounting matrix for Türkiye is constructed for 2021 for the model. It is the most detailed and recent SAM for Türkiye. For the scenario, it is assumed that the productivity of solar PV electricity production will increase due to the actions taken by TFTP. The environmental impacts of the shock are calculated based on the avoided carbon emissions. The results indicate that the output, domestic production, and exports of solar PV electricity increased, along with the other electricity sectors. Other affected sectors are the ones that are highly related to solar PV and have high energy intensity.Moreover, the macroeconomic effects of the shock coincide with the expected results. Also, high levels of carbon emission can be avoided if solar PV electricity replaces fossil fuels.

Subject Keywords

Computable General Equilibrium Models, Social Accounting Matrix, Solar Photovoltaic Energy, Carbon Emissions, Türkiye

URI

https://hdl.handle.net/11511/105393

Collections

Graduate School of Social Sciences, Thesis