THE SURVIVAL OF EXPORT LINKS FOR TÜRKİYE

Date

2024-8-19

Author

Yazıcı, Didem

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This paper analyzes the survival of Turkish manufacturing exports and their determinants for the period between 2009 and 2021 using Turkish customs data. The unit of the analysis in this study is firm-product-destination (FPD) triplets rather than firm, in which firm survival is also implied. Besides using the micro-level data, this study contributes to the export survival literature by using a new dataset and analyzing the survival of specific trade links for Türkiye, which provides an enhanced version of firm survival. In line with the related literature, we found that export durations of FPDs are short-lived. As expected, the GDP of the destination country and the initial value of the export relationship increase the chance of survival. Experience, on the other hand, plays a vital role in export survival: importing, having exported the same product or to the same destination before and being familiar with the product or the destination affect survival positively. Also, the number of peers exporting the same product to the same destination decreases the hazard rate of exiting from export markets.

Subject Keywords

Exports, Survival Analysis, Firm-Product-Destination Export Spells

URI

https://hdl.handle.net/11511/110534

Collections

Graduate School of Social Sciences, Thesis