TÜRKİYE'DE İTHAL İKAMESİ BUNALIMI VE DIŞA AÇILMA: İKİNCİ ELEŞTİRİ

1981
Olgun, Hasan
Giilalp (1980) had advanced three hypotheses concerning Turkey's economic development: (1) Turkey's economic development has been characterised by recurrent oscillations between in inward-looking strategy and outward-looking strategy? (2) These oscillations have coincided with the cyclical crises which emerged throughout Turkish history? and (3) These crises were independent of the domestic policies pursued but were simply an outcome of the "historical working of the international division of labour". From this last hypothesis Giilalp had arrived at the conclusion that a choice between the two strategies' is out of question as these "are not alternative strategies to be pursued at will". Utilising the theoretical studies in the literature and the empirical studies on the Turkish economy the first critique (Olgun 1980) had refuted the abeve hypotheses and identified the sources of errors committed by Giilalp (1980). The present paper concentrates on Gûlalp's reply and his new thesis. It is show that his definition of import substitution is still wrong and he still identifies the concept of import substitution with an inward looking development strategy and with industrialisation. It is also shown that Gulalp misinterprets the empirically observable and measurable indicators of development strategy. His new thesis, that "the difference between import substitution at industry level and that for the whole economy is one of the main causes of the economic difficulties of the countries like Turk3y" discarded as being an speculation. The rest of the paper falsifies the main conclusion of Gulalp by considering the experience of the developed and developing countries which switched from an inward-looking to an outward-looking development strategy.
Citation Formats
H. Olgun, “TÜRKİYE’DE İTHAL İKAMESİ BUNALIMI VE DIŞA AÇILMA: İKİNCİ ELEŞTİRİ,” ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi, vol. 8, no. 3-4, pp. 777–793, 1981, Accessed: 00, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/111437.