Recursive identification algorithms for jump Markov linear systems and elliptical extended target tracking

2025-1-09
Çetinkaya, Mehmet
This thesis addresses two challenges in real-time applications: the online identification of jump Markov linear systems (JMLSs) and the recursive estimation of elliptical target extents. For JMLSs, we develop a computationally efficient recursive expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm that leverages the conditionally linear structure of these systems, enabling higher-dimensional model identification without particle filters. State inference is performed using a multi-model filter, with simulations validating the ability of the method to identify transfer functions, noise parameters, and transition probability matrices. Compared to state-of-the-art batch EM methods, our approach offers significantly reduced computational cost, making it suitable for real-time applications. For elliptical extended target tracking, we propose a unified framework that estimates target extent lengths and orientation. This includes a recursive EM algorithm, a log-likelihood linearization-based recursive algorithm, and a novel iterated extended Kalman filter that processes measurements in batches while maintaining order invariance. Simulations and real-world experiments demonstrate superior accuracy and efficiency compared to existing techniques.
Citation Formats
M. Çetinkaya, “Recursive identification algorithms for jump Markov linear systems and elliptical extended target tracking,” Ph.D. - Doctoral Program, Middle East Technical University, 2025.