The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Bayesian Limits on Gravitational Waves from Individual Supermassive Black Hole Binaries

2023-07-01
Agazie, Gabriella
Anumarlapudi, Akash
Archibald, Anne M.
Arzoumanian, Zaven
Baker, Paul T.
Becsy, Bence
Blecha, Laura
Brazier, Adam
Brook, Paul R.
Burke-Spolaor, Sarah
Case, Robin
Casey-Clyde, J. Andrew
Charisi, Maria
Chatterjee, Shami
Cohen, Tyler
Cordes, James M.
Cornish, Neil J.
Crawford, Fronefield
Cromartie, H. Thankful
Crowter, Kathryn
DeCesar, Megan E.
Demorest, Paul B.
Digman, Matthew C.
Dolch, Timothy
Drachler, Brendan
Ferrara, Elizabeth C.
Fiore, William
Fonseca, Emmanuel
Freedman, Gabriel E.
Garver-Daniels, Nate
Gentile, Peter A.
Glaser, Joseph
Good, Deborah C.
Gueltekin, Kayhan
Hazboun, Jeffrey S.
Hourihane, Sophie
Jennings, Ross J.
Johnson, Aaron D.
Jones, Megan L.
Kaiser, Andrew R.
Kaplan, David L.
Kelley, Luke Zoltan
Kerr, Matthew
Key, Joey S.
Laal, Nima
Lam, Michael T.
Lamb, William G.
Lazio, T. Joseph W.
Lewandowska, Natalia
Liu, Tingting
Lorimer, Duncan R.
Luo, Jing
Lynch, Ryan S.
Ma, Chung-Pei
Madison, Dustin R.
McEwen, Alexander
McKee, James W.
McLaughlin, Maura
McMann, Natasha
Meyers, Bradley W.
Meyers, Patrick M.
Mingarelli, Chiara M. F.
Mitridate, Andrea
Ng, Cherry
Nice, David J.
Ocker, Stella Koch
Olum, Ken D.
Pennucci, Timothy T.
Perera, Benetge B. P.
Petrov, Polina
Pol, Nihan S.
Radovan, Henri A.
Ransom, Scott M.
Ray, Paul S.
Romano, Joseph D.
Sardesai, Shashwat C.
Schmiedekamp, Ann
Schmiedekamp, Carl
Schmitz, Kai
Shapiro-Albert, Brent J.
Siemens, Xavier
Simon, Joseph
Siwek, Magdalena S.
Stairs, Ingrid H.
Stinebring, Daniel R.
Stovall, Kevin
Susobhanan, Abhimanyu
Swiggum, Joseph K.
Taylor, Jacob
Taylor, Stephen R.
Turner, Jacob E.
Ünal, Caner
Vallisneri, Michele
van Haasteren, Rutger
Vigeland, Sarah J.
Wahl, Haley M.
Witt, Caitlin A.
Young, Olivia
Evidence for a low-frequency stochastic gravitational-wave background has recently been reported based on analyses of pulsar timing array data. The most likely source of such a background is a population of supermassive black hole binaries, the loudest of which may be individually detected in these data sets. Here we present the search for individual supermassive black hole binaries in the NANOGrav 15 yr data set. We introduce several new techniques, which enhance the efficiency and modeling accuracy of the analysis. The search uncovered weak evidence for two candidate signals, one with a gravitational-wave frequency of & SIM;4 nHz, and another at & SIM;170 nHz. The significance of the low-frequency candidate was greatly diminished when Hellings-Downs correlations were included in the background model. The high-frequency candidate was discounted due to the lack of a plausible host galaxy, the unlikely astrophysical prior odds of finding such a source, and since most of its support comes from a single pulsar with a commensurate binary period. Finding no compelling evidence for signals from individual binary systems, we place upper limits on the strain amplitude of gravitational waves emitted by such systems. At our most sensitive frequency of 6 nHz, we place a sky-averaged 95% upper limit of 8 x 10(-15) on the strain amplitude. We also calculate an exclusion volume and a corresponding effective radius, within which we can rule out the presence of black hole binaries emitting at a given frequency.
ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS
Citation Formats
G. Agazie et al., “The NANOGrav 15 yr Data Set: Bayesian Limits on Gravitational Waves from Individual Supermassive Black Hole Binaries,” ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS, vol. 951, no. 2, pp. 0–0, 2023, Accessed: 00, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/116266.