A time series analysis of Turkish trade patterns at the sector level, 1969-2001

2025-12
Erlat, Güzin
Erlat, Haluk
We investigate whether the pattern of Turkish trade has a persistent nature or is dynamic, by considering 5-digit, Rev.3 trade data for the period 1969-2001 and assessing the performance of sectors as to whether their distribution between sectors which are in surplus, in balance or in deficit, have shown persistence over time. As a continuation of previous research we investigate the long run behavior of the trade patterns of each 5-digit sector so as to obtain information of their behavior between the beginning of the sample period and its ending. This allows us to also pinpoint those sectors that have exhibited dynamic behavior during the period under study.
Citation Formats
G. Erlat and H. Erlat, “A time series analysis of Turkish trade patterns at the sector level, 1969-2001,” ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi, vol. 52, no. 2, pp. 239–263, 2025, Accessed: 00, 2026. [Online]. Available: https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/metusd/article/1681541.