Assumption-Based Thinking For Project Risk Assessment

2018-06-27
16th Engineering Project Organization Conference (2018)

Suggestions

Flexibility modelling of natural gas contracts
Kestel, Sevtap Ayşe; Kalaycı, Erkan (null; 2015-05-16)
This paper aims to develop a novel algorithm based on all contractual and technical real-world constraints for a gas import/wholesale company in the concept of flexibility. The Mixed Integer Linear Program (MILP) is applied to a portfolio of contracts to produce the optimal amount of purchases pipeline natural gas (PNG) agreements, spot natural gas purchases, natural gas storage use levels and Session IV (16:00-17:30) – ENERGY & FINANCE 18 LNG purchases based on a real life case under various commitments s...
Optimization models for operations
Goldman, Fred; Altan Sakarya, Ayşe Burcu; Ormsbee, Lindell E.; Uber, James G.; Mays, Larry W. (The McGraw-Hill Companies, 2000-01-01)
Flexibility modelling of natural gas contracts: İstanbul case
Yazıcı, Caner Fuad; Kestel, Sevtap Ayşe; Kalaycı, Erkan; Department of Financial Mathematics (2016)
Natural gas is one of the main energy source in the world and plays an important role in energy demand. The liberalization process in the natural gas market has shifted the focus on the Local Distribution Companies (LDCs) which make the procurement and transportation decisions. The decisions such as the pipeline sales, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) sales, other sources of natural gas procurement, transportation and storage opportunities provide the LDCs an opportunity to trade the natural gas in a least-costs...
Confidence-Aware Sequence Alignment for Process Diagnostics
Esgin, Eren; Karagöz, Pınar (2013-12-05)
Traditional process modeling in contemporary information systems concentrates on the design and configuration phases, while less attention is dedicated to the enactment phase. Instead of starting with a process design, process mining attempts to discover interesting patterns from a set of real time execution namely event logs, which can be handled as a main data source for end-user behavior analysis, and translate this discovered knowledge into process model. One of the challenging issues in process mining ...
Optimization models for public debt management
Alver, Mustafa Uğur; Çağlar, Güven; Department of Industrial Engineering (2009)
Management of public debt is crucial for every country. Public debt managers make efforts to both minimize the cost of borrowing and to keep debt stock at sustainable levels. However, due to competition for funds in the continuously changing and developing financial markets, new threats and opportunities appear constantly. Public debt managers construct borrowing policies in order to minimize the cost of borrowing and also to decrease risk by using various borrowing instruments. This thesis presents a mathe...
Citation Formats
İ. Dikmen Toker and M. T. Birgönül, “Assumption-Based Thinking For Project Risk Assessment,” presented at the 16th Engineering Project Organization Conference (2018), 2018, Accessed: 00, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/74123.