Probabilistic Assessment of liquefaction over large areas

C.2. luccioni, L.x.
Marek, A.r.
Çetin, Kemal Önder
Since the 1964 Niigata, Japan, earthquake, damages attributed to earthquake induced liquefaction phenomena have cost society hundreds of millions U.S. dollars. Most procedures developed so far predict the potential for earthquake induced liquefaction at the “point” or over the small area, where the soil strength is evaluated. This paper describes a technique to estimate the probability of earthquake induced liquefaction over arbitrary large areas. The proposed technique may be of special interest to both large corporation and insurance company risk management departments, which are looking at estimating earthquake damages over a large area. The area of interest is meshed forming a grid of individual cells, for which the probability of liquefaction is estimated. The probability of liquefaction for a given percentage of the total area is then computed as a system reliability problem.
Citation Formats
L. x. C.2. luccioni, A. r. Marek, and K. Ö. Çetin, “Probabilistic Assessment of liquefaction over large areas,” presented at the International Conferences on Recent Advances in Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering and Soil Dynamics. 19, San Diego, California, 2000, Accessed: 00, 2021. [Online]. Available: