Credit risk modeling with stochastic volatility, jumps and stochastic interest rates

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2007

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Yüksel, Ayhan

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This thesis presents the modeling of credit risk by using structural approach. Three fundamental questions of credit risk literature are analyzed throughout the research: modeling single firm credit risk, modeling portfolio credit risk and credit risk pricing. First we analyze these questions under the assumptions that firm value follows a geometric Brownian motion and the interest rates are constant. We discuss the weaknesses of the geometric brownian motion assumption in explaining empirical properties of real data. Then we propose a new extended model in which asset value, volatility and interest rates follow affine jump diffusion processes. In our extended model volatility is stochastic, asset value and volatility has correlated jumps and interest rates are stochastic and have jumps. Finally, we analyze the modeling of single firm credit risk and credit risk pricing by using our extended model and show how our model can be used as a solution for the problems we encounter with simple models.

Subject Keywords

Finance.

URI

http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/2/12609206/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/17443

Collections

Graduate School of Applied Mathematics, Thesis

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Citation Formats

A. Yüksel, “Credit risk modeling with stochastic volatility, jumps and stochastic interest rates,” M.S. - Master of Science, Middle East Technical University, 2007.