Assessment of Tsunami Hazard for Western coast of the Black sea

Date

2015-04-12

Author

Zaytsev, Andrey
Pelınovsky, Efım
Yalçıner, Ahmet Cevdet
Ionescu, Constantın
Moldovan, Iren

Metadata

Show full item record

Item Usage Stats

43
views

0
downloads

Tsunami hazard in the Black Sea is considered low to moderate but not negligible. At present, New EuropeanTsunami Catalogue counts 29 historical tsunami events in the Black Sea, 22 of which are considered as reliable.Some of them can be affected Romanian coast including a strong neares earthquakes event 544/545 of offshoreVarna (Bulgaria). In this study we discuss a forecast of possible tsunami wave heights at Romanian coasts of theBlack Sea. In the analysis, the prognostic numerical simulations are performed by using 55 tsunami events. In thesimulations non-linear Boussinesq equation model in the Black Sea is used. All tsunami sources are selected asuniformly distributed in the Black Sea basin.The results of prognostic numerical simulations are compared with the results of numerical modelling of twoinstrumentally measured tsunami events (1939 and 1966). On this basis a preliminary forecast of tsunamiinundation map along the Romanian coast of the Black Sea is developed. As the summary the level of tsunamirisk is discussed by considering recent development of the coastal utilization in the Black sea.On this basis apreliminary forecast of tsunami inundation map along the Western coast of the Black Sea is given developed.Certainly a the tsunami the risk in the Black Sea is not too high but considering development of the Europeancoastal infrastructure and utilization it becomes important.

URI

http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-10262.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/71647

Conference Name

EGU General Assembly (12-17 April, 2015 )

Collections

Department of Civil Engineering, Conference / Seminar

Suggestions

OpenMETU
Core

Assessment of Tsunami Wave Heights Map for Western Coast of the Black Sea Zaytsev, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Kostenko, Irina; Yalçıner, Ahmet Cevdet; Kurkin, Andrey; Ranguelov, Boyko; Didenkulova, Ira (2015-10-10) Considering development of the European coastal infrastructure, the assessment of tsunami risk in the Black Sea becomes important. According to tsunami catalogue there were 30 tsunami observed in the Black sea from which 9 events occurred in the last century. The magnitudes of earthquakes generated these tsunamis were not very large. This is why most of tsunamis had local level. Unfortunately, there is a lack of information regarding tsunami impact on the coast. Therefore for inundation studies we rely on n...
Assessment of tsunami resilience of Haydarpasa Port in the Sea of Marmara by high-resolution numerical modeling AYTÖRE, Betul; Yalçıner, Ahmet Cevdet; Zaytsev, Andrey; ÇANKAYA, Zeynep Ceren; Süzen, Mehmet Lütfi (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2016-08-02) Turkey is highly prone to earthquakes because of active fault zones in the region. The Marmara region located at the western extension of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) is one of the most tectonically active zones in Turkey. Numerous catastrophic events such as earthquakes or earthquake/landslide-induced tsunamis have occurred in the Marmara Sea basin. According to studies on the past tsunami records, the Marmara coasts have been hit by 35 different tsunami events in the last 2000 years. The recent o...
Evaluation of tsunami scenarios for western Peloponnese, Greece Yalçıner, Ahmet Cevdet; Dilmen, D. I.; Aytore, B.; Ayca, A.; Insel, I.; Zaytsev, A. (2014-06-01) Tsunami hazard assessment of the eastern part of the Mediterranean Sea is the current interest of the countries having, a coastline in this region. Considering today's increasing population on the coasts and historical tsunamis, it is essential to estimate the probable tsunami risk, which might occur, to be able to mitigate the risk before the actual tsunami event happens. For this purpose, European Union funded project., SEAHELLARC is formed to develop a methodology and tools for seismic and tsunami safety...
Evaluation of site conditions for the Ankara Basin of Turkey based on seismic site characterization of near-surface geologic materials Kockar, M. K.; Akgün, Haluk; Rathje, E. M. (Elsevier BV, 2010-01-01) Regional site conditions relevant for seismic hazard studies can be derived from various geologic, seismologic, and geotechnical sources. In this study, site conditions are derived for the Ankara Basin in Turkey by merging in-situ seismic measurements of dynamic properties, geologic information, and some geotechnical boring information. Field seismic refraction surveys were performed at 259 sites in the project area to classify and characterize Plio-Pleistocene fluvial deposits and Quaternary alluvial and t...
Assessment of the impacts of future climatic variations and anthropogenic activities on Burdur Lake levels Kılıç Germeç, Hatice; Yazıcıgil, Hasan; Department of Geological Engineering (2023-1-24) Lake water levels naturally fluctuate due to imbalances in water inputs and outputs. However, lake hydrologic regimes may be altered by the impacts of climatic factors and human interventions, as in Burdur Lake. The Burdur Lake level has continuously decreased since the beginning of the 1970s. In this study, in order to quantify the loss/gain relationship between the aquifer and the Burdur Lake and specify the potential causes and consequences for the lake level decline, a 3-D numerical groundwater flow mod...

Citation Formats

A. Zaytsev, E. Pelınovsky, A. C. Yalçıner, C. Ionescu, and I. Moldovan, “Assessment of Tsunami Hazard for Western coast of the Black sea,” Vienna, Austria, 2015, vol. 17, Accessed: 00, 2021. [Online]. Available: http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2015/EGU2015-10262.pdf.