Real exchange rates and job flows: evidence from Turkey

Dogan, Ergun
İslam, Muhammed Qamarul
Yazici, Mehmet
This study investigates the effects of the real exchange rate on job flows in Turkish manufacturing industries between 2006 and 2015 using data at the four-digit NACE Revision 2 level. Using dynamic panel data models, we find that a real appreciation increases gross and net job creation rates, and that the effect of appreciation is magnified as the exposure to international competitiveness of industries increases. We think that this is because Turkish manufacturing firms import a greater share of their inputs compared to the firms in developed countries. Hence, an appreciation creates more jobs because lower imported input costs enable firms to outcompete foreign producers.


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Soytaş, Uğur (2006-12-01)
This paper investigates the long run relationship between entry and exit using aggregate annual data from the Turkish manufacturing industry for the period 1968-2001. The time series properties of the data imply that simple OLS regressions may yield spurious results. We employ both bivariate and multivariate models to test for Granger causality. Utilizing relatively new time series techniques, we find that exit Granger causes entry in the long run, but not vice versa. However, unlike many empirical fin...
Real exchange rates and real interest rate differentials : an empirical investigation
Can Mutan, Oya; Özmen, Erdal; Department of Economics (2005)
This study investigates the validity of the real exchange rate-real interest rate differential (RERI) relationship for a sample of twenty-three developing and developed countries. The results based on the Johansen cointegration analysis suggest the validity of the long-run RERI relationship only for a small number of countries including Canada, Italy, Switzerland, Belgium, Chile, Israel and Norway. Real interest rate differentials are found to be positively associated with real exchange rates in the long-ru...
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Sen Dogan, Bahar; Midilic, Murat (2019-01-01)
This study generates nowcasts and forecasts for the growth rate of the gross domestic product in Turkey using 204 daily financial series with mixed data sampling (MIDAS) framework. The daily financial series include commodity prices, equity indices, exchange rates, and global and domestic corporate risk series. Forecasting exercises are also carried out with the daily factors extracted from separate financial data classes and from the whole dataset. The findings of the study suggest that MIDAS regression mo...
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Soytaş, Uğur (2009-12-01)
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Exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices in Turkish economy
Alper, Koray; Gaygısız Lajunen, Esma; Department of Economics (2003)
In this study, determinants and the evolution of the exchange rate passthrough to domestic inflation in the Turkish economy is analyzed. The analyses cover the 1987-2003 period. In the analyses, single equation أError Correction Modelsؤ are used to estimate the exchange rate pass-through. Estimation results suggest that alike other emerging countries, the degree of exchange rate passthrough to domestic prices is high and the pass-through is completed in a very short time span. Estimations results also indic...
Citation Formats
E. Dogan, M. Q. İslam, and M. Yazici, “Real exchange rates and job flows: evidence from Turkey,” APPLIED ECONOMICS, vol. 50, no. 42, pp. 4489–4499, 2018, Accessed: 00, 2021. [Online]. Available: