Credit Risk Evaluation Using Clustering Based Fuzzy Classification Method

2023-03-01
Credit scoring is a crucial indicator for banks to determine the financial position and the eligibility of aclient for credit. In order to assign statistical odds or probabilities to predict the risk of nonpayment inrelation to many other factors, the scoring criterion becomes an important issue. The focus of thisstudy is to propose a clustering based fuzzy classification (CBFC) method for credit risk assessment. Weaim to illustrate the beneficial use of machine learning (ML) methods whose prediction power isincreased by adopting fuzzy theory to calculate the default risk with a better selection of the featurescontributing to it. An important feature of the CBFC method is that membership values obtained as aresult of the fuzzy k-means clustering algorithm are used for the purpose of better capturing thestructure of an existing system.An extensive comparison is performed to show how CBFC performs compared to the traditional onesfor the datasets having different characteristics in terms of the variable types. Five different real-lifedatasets are studied to expose the contribution of fuzzy approach on improving the ML use. Ourfindings show that the proposed CBFC models can produce promising classification results in creditrisk evaluation which aid the practitioners and decision makers for issuance of credit purposes
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS

Suggestions

Credit scoring methods and accuray ratio
İşcanoğlu, Ayşegül; Körezlioğlu, Hayri; Department of Financial Mathematics (2005)
The credit scoring with the help of classification techniques provides to take easy and quick decisions in lending. However, no definite consensus has been reached with regard to the best method for credit scoring and in what conditions the methods performs best. Although a huge range of classification techniques has been used in this area, the logistic regression has been seen an important tool and used very widely in studies. This study aims to examine accuracy and bias properties in parameter estimation ...
The Impact of Feature Selection and Transformation on Machine Learning Methods in Determining the Credit Scoring
Koç, Oğuz; Uğur, Ömür; Kestel, Sevtap Ayşe (2023-03-01)
Banks utilize credit scoring as an important indicator of financial strength and eligibility for credit. Scoring models aim to assign statistical odds or probabilities for predicting if there is a risk of nonpayment in relation to many other factors which may be involved in. This paper aims to illustrate the beneficial use of the eight machine learning (ML) methods (Support Vector Machine, Gaussian Naive Bayes, Decision Trees, Random Forest, XGBoost, K-Nearest Neighbors, Multi-layer Perceptron Neural ...
Credit rating changes and the government cost of borrowing in Turkey
Derin Güre, Pınar ( Department of Economics Middle East Technical University , 2016-08-01)
Standard and Poor’s (S&P), Moody’s and Fitch have been producing credit ratings for government bonds and corporate bonds. Changes in credit ratings affect the investors’ decisions and government cost of borrowing as well. 2008 global financial crisis is an important milestone for the credit rating agencies since during the crisis period high rated countries faced with deep economic fluctuations, which decreased creditworthiness of these agencies. This paper investigates the relationship between sovereign bo...
Stochastic credit default swap pricing
Gökgöz, İsmail Hakkı; Uğur, Ömür; Yolcu Okur, Yeliz; Department of Financial Mathematics (2012)
Credit risk measurement and management has great importance in credit market. Credit derivative products are the major hedging instruments in this market and credit default swap contracts (CDSs) are the most common type of these instruments. As observed in credit crunch (credit crisis) that has started from the United States and expanded all over the world, especially crisis of Iceland, CDS premiums (prices) are better indicative of credit risk than credit ratings. Therefore, CDSs are important indicators f...
Credit rating changes and the government cost of borrowing in Turkey
Gürer, Murat; Derin Güre, Pınar (Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi (Ankara, Turkey), 2016-8)
Standard and Poor’s (S&P), Moody’s and Fitch have been producing credit ratings for government bonds and corporate bonds. Changes in credit ratings affect the investors’ decisions and government cost of borrowing as well. 2008 global financial crisis is an important milestone for the credit rating agencies since during the crisis period high rated countries faced with deep economic fluctuations, which decreased creditworthiness of these agencies. This paper investigates the relationship between soverei...
Citation Formats
O. Koç, F. Başer, and S. A. Kestel, “Credit Risk Evaluation Using Clustering Based Fuzzy Classification Method,” EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, vol. 223, no. 119882, pp. 1–26, 2023, Accessed: 00, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://reader.elsevier.com/reader/sd/pii/S0957417423003834?token=4ADA4C696AD7F8F4352F9EAF5347E70372D15F921997379A4D0014E66595287831E0182DFE8AC207258E0B2045640701&originRegion=eu-west-1&originCreation=20230317090441.