Simulation of yacht movements in Göcek Bays

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2004

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Genç (Numanoğlu), Aslı

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Fethiye-Göcek area is one of the nine coastal Specially Protected Area (SPA) in Turkey. Since mid-80̕s Göcek town has developed to be a yachting center, and the bays of Göcek have acquired a well-earned international fame as a paradise for boating vacations. However, the uncontrolled yachting in this bay area presents a growing pressure on the environment, and the coastal and marine ecosystem. In this thesis a computer model for simulating the movements of yachts in Göcek Bays is developed. The computer model uses the Multinomial Logit Model (MNL) to find the probabilities for the boaters to select the next bay to visit. The model predicts the number of boats in each bay at the end of a day, the number of boats visited each bay during the day and the distribution of boater categories among the bays throughout the simulation time. In order to get the data needed for the inputs, a questionnaire was formed, and a detailed survey was carried out in Göcek Bays. In addition to the questionnaires, the number of the boats anchored were also observed in the field studies. The model is applied to the Göcek Bays and the results obtained are compared with the data obtained in the field. In the following years, the yacht movements and distributions at various anchor locations can be predicted with this model. These predictions will be useful in a future management plan that aims to control of yacht movement and anchoring.

Subject Keywords

Yachting

URI

http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12604813/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/14098

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Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Thesis

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Citation Formats

A. Genç (Numanoğlu), “Simulation of yacht movements in Göcek Bays,” Ph.D. - Doctoral Program, Middle East Technical University, 2004.