Spatial econometric analysis of regional growth and employment convergence in Turkey

Download

index.pdf

Date

2015

Author

Akçagün, Pelin

Metadata

Show full item record

Item Usage Stats

261
views

190
downloads

The main objective of this thesis is to investigate how spatial interactions across the provinces and regions may affect the regional growth and employment convergence in Turkey. The overall outcomes suggest not only the validity but also the superiority of the spatial econometric models. First, a comprehensive set of spatial cross-sectional models is employed to reveal the provincial growth convergence from 1991 to 2009. The results suggest evidences of absolute and conditional convergence across provinces with main driving forces being employment and human capital described by the high school graduates. Second, a methodological departure is provided by the spatial dynamic panel data models. The outcomes disclose structural differences in the 2002-2007 period in which the initially ineffective public and private investments turn out to be growth-promoting. On the other hand, the employment and human capital as measured by the university graduates could not mark significant differences in determining provincial growth. Third, the employment convergence that exhibits both regional and sectoral variations is estimated by spatial panel seemingly unrelated regression models. Throughout the 2004-2011 period, the growth rate of employment rates display divergence in the agriculture and convergence in the services sector. The industry sector shows divergent pattern in static models which becomes insignificant in dynamic setting. The agriculture sector loses its significance and regional competition for labor arises among neighbors. On the contrary, the employment rates in the industry and services sectors signify positive feedbacks across adjacent regions. The estimation results validate the employment shifts from agriculture to services sector.

Subject Keywords

Econometrics., Econometric models., Convergence (Economics)., Employment (Economic theory).

URI

http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12619448/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/25219

Collections

Graduate School of Social Sciences, Thesis

Suggestions

OpenMETU
Core

Convergence across provinces of Turkey: a spatial analysis Aldan, Altan; Gaygısız Lajunen, Esma; Department of Economics (2005) The aim of this study is to analyze regional disparities and to test the convergence hypothesis across the provinces of Turkey. The study also attempts to analyze the spatial spillovers in the growth process of the provinces. The analyses cover the 1987-2001 period. Two alternative methodologies are used in the analyses. First, the methodology of β-convergence based on cross-sectional regressions is used and effects of spatial dependence are analyzed using spatial econometric techniques. Second, Markov chai...
Institutional Environment, Economic Performance and Innovation in Turkey Erdil, Erkan; Pamukcu, Mehmet Teoman (2015-01-01) This paper investigates the relationship between economic performance and innovation in Turkey, while also taking into account the crucial mediating effect of the institutional environment. We carry out an in-depth analysis of the recent shifts in STI policy-making in Turkey. The emphasis is on the innovation support policy instruments, and their effectiveness, as well as on the formulation of national STI targets, sector priorities and targets in the field of human resources. A number of concerns are expre...
Regional income growth disparities and convergence in Turkey : analyzing the role of human capital differences Saral, Güldem; Eraydın, Ayda; Department of City and Regional Planning (2003) The aim of this thesis is to analyze the growth performances of regions in Turkey and the role of human capital in this process within the framework of new growth theory. For this aim, it firstly attempts to investigate the evolution of regional income growth differences in Turkey in the period 1980-2000 and the tendency of provinces in Turkey towards income growth convergence. Secondly, by taking a detailed account of human capital, it aims to explore the contribution of human capital differences towards e...
Empowering Critical International Theory by Applying Action Research Methodology to its Inquiry Kurtbağ, Ömer (Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi (Ankara, Turkey), 2011-4) This paper analyzes the influence and relevance of Gramscian and Habermasian critical international theories within the context of recent developments in the world politics that do not function in favour of these discourses’ emancipatory objectives and projections. It first looks at their emergence as alternative paradigms to the traditional conceptualizations in the discipline of IR and then compares the roots of their theoretical positions and their contribution to the analysis of international politics. ...
Direct foreign investment in Turkish manufacturing industry Koldaş, Tevfik; Şenses, Fikret; Department of Economics (2005) This study deals with direct foreign investment (DFI) in Turkish manufacturing industry with two main objectives: First, the reasons of the failure of Turkish economy in attracting sufficiently high levels of DFI is analysed as compared to the experiences other developing countries that have been successful on this count. Second, the impact of DFI in Turkish manufacturing industry is analysed in terms of export, employment, and technology contribution as well as the comparative behaviour of domestic and DFI...

Citation Formats

P. Akçagün, “Spatial econometric analysis of regional growth and employment convergence in Turkey,” Ph.D. - Doctoral Program, Middle East Technical University, 2015.