PREDESIGN COST ESTIMATION OF URBAN RAILWAY PROJECTS WITH PARAMETRIC MODELING

2009-12-01
This paper presents a parametric modeling method for predesign cost estimation of urban railway systems. Data of 13 light rail and metro projects located in Turkey were compiled for quantification of the impacts of parameters on the project costs. Parametric models have been developed using regression analysis and neural networks techniques. Ten linear regression models were used for determination of the parameters significantly impacting cost of urban railway projects. Two neural networks were considered as an alternative to regression models, particularly for the identification of the non-linear relations. Predictive behaviour and performance of the models were compared to determine a model that presents adequate relations and has a reasonable accuracy. The proposed method provides a powerful approach for determination of a satisfactory parametric cost model during early project stages by incorporating a coordinated use of regression analysis and neural network techniques.
JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT

Suggestions

Parametric Range Estimating of Building Costs Using Regression Models and Bootstrap
Sönmez, Rifat (American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2008-12-01)
This paper presents a bootstrap approach for integration of parametric and probabilistic cost estimation techniques. In the proposed method, a combination of regression analysis and bootstrap resampling technique is used to develop range estimates for construction costs. The method is applied to parametric range estimation of building projects as an example. The bootstrap approach includes advantages of probabilistic and parametric estimation methods, at the same time it requires fewer assumptions compared ...
Numerical integration of a class of 3d plastic-damage concrete models and condensation of 3d stress-strain relations for use in beam finite elements
Sarıtaş, Afşin (Elsevier BV, 2009-10-01)
This paper presents a method for the integration of a class of plastic-damage material models. The integration of the evolution equations results in a nonlinear problem, which is linearized and solved with the Newton-Raphson method using a sub-stepping strategy. The consistent tangent matrix can be formulated either in terms of the stress components in a general reference system or in terms of the principal stress and strain components with the former then transformed to the general reference system. In ord...
Cost assessment of concrete and steel types for office buildings: An exploratory study
Kanit, Recep; Ozkan, Omer; Gunduz, Murat (Elsevier BV, 2007-09-01)
This paper presents a set of regression models which incorporates concrete and steel types in modeling the costs of office buildings. To these ends, three typical office buildings with seven and 15 stories have been designed by the help of a commercial software taking into account the Turkish practice. In each project C-16, C-20, C-25, C-30 and C-35 concrete classes and S-220 and S-420 steel types were used for dimensioning purposes. Rough construction costs were then calculated for different combinations o...
Predicting the shear strength of reinforced concrete beams using artificial neural networks
Mansour, MY; Dicleli, Murat; Lee, JY; Zhang, J (Elsevier BV, 2004-05-01)
The application of artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict the ultimate shear strengths of reinforced concrete (RC) beams with transverse reinforcements is investigated in this paper. An ANN model is built, trained and tested using the available test data of 176 RC beams collected from the technical literature. The data used in the ANN model are arranged in a format of nine input parameters that cover the cylinder concrete compressive strength, yield strength of the longitudinal and transverse reinforc...
Cost estimation of trackworks of light rail and metro projects
Öztürk, Erhan; Gündüz, Murat; Department of Civil Engineering (2009)
The main objective of this work is to develop models using multivariable regression and artificial neural network approaches for cost estimation of the construction costs of trackworks of light rail transit and metro projects at the early stages of the construction process in Turkey. These two approaches were applied to a data set of 16 projects by using seventeen parameters available at the early design phase. According to the results of each method, regression analysis estimated the cost of testing sample...
Citation Formats
R. Sönmez, “PREDESIGN COST ESTIMATION OF URBAN RAILWAY PROJECTS WITH PARAMETRIC MODELING,” JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT, pp. 405–409, 2009, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/37668.