Case-based reasoning model for international market selection

To increase the quality of decision making in construction companies, organizational memory should be enhanced and utilized effectively. Experiences of other companies should constitute an important part of organizational memory so that a construction company may have the chance to learn from the experiences of others and modify its behavior in the light of acquired knowledge. Within this study, a case-based reasoning (CBR) decision support tool is constructed to demonstrate how experiences of competitors in international markets may be used by contractors, to support international market selection decisions. 215 cases from the Turkish construction industry have been used to build the model, namely CBR-INT. The reliability of CBR-INT in predicting potential profitability of international projects and the level of competitiveness of Turkish contractors is around 90%. Moreover, CBR-INT has proven to be an effective tool for practitioners due to its high explanation capability and ease of use. Using the conceptual framework of CBR-INT, different CBR models can also be constructed for other countries.


Exploring the Relationship between Complexity and Risk in Megaconstruction Projects
Erol, Huseyin; Dikmen, Irem; Atasoy Özcan, Güzide; Birgönül, Mustafa Talat (American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2020-12-01)
© 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.Although complexity and risk are inherent characteristics of megaconstruction projects, existing project management approaches fail to incorporate complexity-based thinking into risk management. Complexity is usually considered as the source of risk events, along with uncertainty. However, prevailing risk management practices are oriented toward only handling the uncertainty. The lack of integration between the complexity and other risk-related concepts leads to un...
Integrated Approach to Overcome Shortcomings in Current Delay Analysis Practices
Birgönül, Mustafa Talat; Dikmen Toker, İrem (American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2015-04-01)
Many factors, such as unforeseeable events, managerial and financial problems of contractors, insufficient technical capacity of site teams of contractors or Consultants, and so on, may lead to delays in construction projects. Proper analysis of compensability and quantum of a delay event is of prime importance. Any delay analysis application can be considered as a result of the combination of contract documents, scheduler, record-keeping mechanism at the site, communication among project participants, dela...
Critical Sequence Crashing Heuristic for Resource-Constrained Discrete Time-Cost Trade-Off Problem
Sönmez, Rifat; Uysal, Furkan (American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2016-03-01)
Despite the importance of project deadlines and resource constraints in construction scheduling, very little success has been achieved in solving the resource-constrained discrete time-cost trade-off problem (RCDTCTP), especially for large-scale projects. In this paper a new heuristic method is designed and developed to achieve fast and high-quality solutions for the large-scale RCDTCTP. The proposed method is based on the novel principles to enable effective exploration of the search space through adequate...
Fuzzy Structural Equation Model to Assess Construction Site Safety Performance
Gunduz, Murat; Birgönül, Mustafa Talat; Ozdemir, Mustafa (American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2017-04-01)
The main goal of this study is to examine the relationships between determinants of safety performance of construction sites. To achieve this goal, 168 observable variables and 16 latent dimensions that affect safety performance of construction sites were collected through extensive literature reviews, expert opinions, and face-to-face interviews. A questionnaire form was developed and administered to construction professionals as a data-collection tool about the observable variables and latent dimensions. ...
Strategic Group Analysis in the Construction Industry
Dikmen Toker, İrem; Birgönül, Mustafa Talat (American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2009-04-01)
The aim of strategic group analysis is to determine whether clusters of firms that have a similar strategic position exist within an industry or not. Findings of strategic group analysis may further be used to investigate the performance implications of strategic group membership. The objective of this paper is to identify the possible strategic groups that could exist within the Turkish construction industry by using a theoretical framework applicable for the construction industry and alternative statistic...
Citation Formats
B. Ozorhon, İ. Dikmen Toker, and M. T. Birgönül, “Case-based reasoning model for international market selection,” JOURNAL OF CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT-ASCE, pp. 940–948, 2006, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: