Measuring the impact of trade flows on employment in the Turkish manufacturing industry

Download

index.pdf

Date

2000-07-15

Author

Erlat, Güzin

Metadata

Show full item record

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Item Usage Stats

181
views

0
downloads

This paper investigates the impact of export and import flows on the change in manufacturing employment using an accounting-identity based approach which enables the change in employment to be decomposed into the contribution made not only by trade but also by domestic consumption and productivity change. The analysis is carried over (i) four subperiods, two belonging to the period before 1980 when Turkey switched from a regime of import-substitution based growth to one of export-orientation, and the other two, to the period after 1980. and (ii) three trade-based categories; net exporting, import competing and noncompeting sectors. It is found (a) that trade has a more significant role to play in employment change in the post-1980 periods, (b) that this is observed more in the net exporting and noncompeting categories rather than the import competing category, and (c) that the switch to export-oriented growth in 1980 did not lead to export-based employment to be dominant in employment changes but has acted as a buffer in the sense that employment may either have grown much less or declined more severely if the post-1980 expansion of exports had not occurred.

Subject Keywords

Economics and Econometrics

URI

https://hdl.handle.net/11511/63185

Journal

APPLIED ECONOMICS

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1080/000368400404317

Collections

Department of Economics, Article

Suggestions

OpenMETU
Core

Environmental impact of customs union agreement with EU on Turkey's trade in manufacturing industry Akbostancı Özkazanç, Elif; Tunç, Gül İpek (Informa UK Limited, 2008-01-01) In this study, we analyse Turkey's manufacturing industry trade by estimating sectoral import and export demand equations for 1980-2000. The study aims to understand whether the trade in the manufacturing industry complies with pollution haven hypothesis, and whether the free trade environment provided by the customs union (CU) agreement altered the trade pattern of the clean and dirty industries. Results of our econometric models have shown that while CU positively affects the import demand, it does not ha...
Nonlinear models, composite longer leading indicator and forecasts for UK real GDP Ocal, N (Informa UK Limited, 2006-05-20) This paper examines the role of the Office for National Statistics Composite Longer Leading Indicator, in nonlinear business cycle models for growth rates of UK real gross domestic product (GDP). These models are of the smooth transition regression class, with the transition between "regimes'' expressed as functions of lagged changes in the leading indicator. In general, evidence is found of business cycle regime asymmetries, with increases and decreases in the leading indicator implying distinct responses ...
Relationship between oil prices, interest rate, and unemployment: Evidence from an emerging market Dogrul, H. Gunsel; Soytaş, Uğur (Elsevier BV, 2010-11-01) While the interrelation between oil price changes, economic activity and employment is an important issue that has been studied mainly for developed countries, little attention has been devoted to inquiries on fluctuations in the price of crude oil and its impact on employment for small open economies. Adopting an efficiency wage model for equilibrium employment that does not require any assumptions regarding labor supply, this paper contributes to the literature by investigating the causality between unemp...
The impact of value added components of GDP and FDI on economic freedom in Europe SAYARI MARCUM, NAZ; Sarı, Ramazan; Hammoudeh, Shawkat (Elsevier BV, 2018-06-01) This paper investigates the possibility of a long-run relationship between the Economic Freedom Index (EFI), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and value added components of GDP in thirty Eastern, Central and Western European countries. The study further examines whether the FDI and sector-specific components of GDP have any significant impact on economic freedom for these countries. We use annual data and employ Pedroni and KAO panel cointegration analyses to assess the long-run relationships. The results ind...
Demand systems for agricultural products in OECD countries Erdil, Erkan (Informa UK Limited, 2006-02-20) This Study concerned with the estimation of demand systems for agricultural products in OECD countries. Three representatives demand systems with their extensions, namely the Rotterdam Model, All Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS), and CBS model are used. These models are estimated by Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) method. The procedures to estimate demand systems Suggest significant empirical regularities For agricultural products in OECD countries. The Study also applies a procedure for model selecti...

Citation Formats

G. Erlat, “Measuring the impact of trade flows on employment in the Turkish manufacturing industry,” APPLIED ECONOMICS, pp. 1169–1180, 2000, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/63185.