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Coupled physical and biochemical data driven simulations of Black Sea in spring-summer: real-time forecast and data assimilation

Besiktepe, ST
Data driven simulations in the Black Sea based upon observations during May-June 2001 in the SW part of the basin and coupled 3D physical and biochemical models have been carried out. The model was initialised with the data obtained during 22-28 May, 2001 and ran until 15 June, 2001. The data obtained in the second leg during 12-18 June, 2001 was assimilated into the model. At the time of the assimilation, the model forecast and the data were also compared. Quantitative and qualitative comparisons of the coupled model fields with data show that the predictive capability of the model was about one week.