Interest rate rules and welfare in open economies

Senay, Ozge
This paper analyses the welfare performance of a set of five alternative interest rate rules in an open economy stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model with nominal rigidities. A rule with a lagged interest rate term, high feedback on inflation and low feedback on output is found to yield the highest welfare for a small open economy. This result is robust across different degrees of openness, different sources of home and foreign shocks, alternative foreign monetary rules and different specifications for price-setting behaviour. The same rule emerges as both the Nash and cooperative equilibria in a two-country version of the model.


Interest rates and monetary policy
Gazioglu, S.; McCausland, W. D. (Informa UK Limited, 2009-01-01)
This article conducts a thorough intertemporal analysis of nominal interest rate based monetary policy. Its main contribution is to show how such a policy can have different effects depending on the assumptions made about the saving and borrowing behaviour of firms. We consider two cases: (i) consumers are savers and firms are borrowers and (ii) both consumers and firms are borrowers (the nation as a whole is borrowing from abroad). In one case we confirm conventional wisdom, but in the other case we find t...
Macroeconomic and institutional determinants of current account deficits
Ozmen, E (Informa UK Limited, 2005-07-15)
This study empirically investigates the effects of institutional and macroeconomic policy variables on current account deficits (CAD). Based on cross-section data for a broad number of countries, the results suggest that better governance increases whilst 'original sin' decreases the ability of an economy to sustain CAD. Exchange rate flexibility and openness appear to put a discipline on CAD. Consistent with the equity home bias and Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, CAD decrease with country size. The net impacts ...
A quantitative analysis of cost-push shocks and optimal inflation volatility
Senay, Ozge; Sutherland, Alan (Informa UK Limited, 2008-01-01)
This article presents a quantitative analysis of optimal inflation volatility in a simple sticky-price general equilibrium model subject to both supply and cost-push shocks. It is found that optimal policy implies a relatively small degree of inflation volatility even when cost-push shocks are the dominant source of economic disturbance. In addition, it is found that optimal policy generates only a very small welfare gain when compared to strict inflation targeting.
Ünal, Umut (Wroclaw University of Economics and Business, 2018-01-01)
This paper develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for analyzing the impact of various capital income tax policies in a small open economy populated by households possessing endogenous time preferences. We contribute to the literature by studying the impacts of: i) anticipated tax shocks under stochastically growing output, ii) stochastic tax shocks under deterministic output, on our dynamic general equilibrium framework. With our model's specifications, this is the first attempt to i...
Financial development and energy consumption in emerging markets: Smooth structural shifts and causal linkages
Durusu-Ciftci, Dilek; Soytaş, Uğur; NAZLIOĞLU, ŞABAN (Elsevier BV, 2020-03-01)
This study examines the dynamic interrelationships among financial development, energy consumption, and economic growth in emerging markets by focusing on accounting for structural changes in causal linkages. We first employ the Toda-Yamamoto causality framework and then augment it with a Fourier approximation which captures structural shifts as a gradual/smooth process. The empirical findings show that taking into account gradual structural shifts matters for the causal linkages between financial developme...
Citation Formats
O. Senay, “Interest rate rules and welfare in open economies,” SCOTTISH JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, pp. 300–329, 2008, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: