Foreign money shocks and the welfare performance of alternative monetary policy regimes

Senay, Ozge
Sutherland, Alan
The welfare properties of monetary policy regimes for a country subject to foreign money shocks are examined in a two-country sticky-price model. Money targeting is found to be welfare superior to a fixed exchange rate when the expenditure switching effect of exchange rate changes is relatively weak, but a fixed rate is superior when the expenditure switching effect is strong. However, price targeting is superior to both these regimes for all values of the expenditure switching effect. A welfare-maximising monetary rule yields lower output and exchange rate volatility than price targeting for a wide range of parameter values.


Macroeconomic and institutional determinants of current account deficits
Ozmen, E (Informa UK Limited, 2005-07-15)
This study empirically investigates the effects of institutional and macroeconomic policy variables on current account deficits (CAD). Based on cross-section data for a broad number of countries, the results suggest that better governance increases whilst 'original sin' decreases the ability of an economy to sustain CAD. Exchange rate flexibility and openness appear to put a discipline on CAD. Consistent with the equity home bias and Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, CAD decrease with country size. The net impacts ...
IMF Programmes Fiscal Policy and Growth Investigation of Macroeconomic Alternatives in an OLG Model of Growth for Turkey1
Voyvoda, Ebru (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2005-03-01)
In this paper, we investigate the fiscal policy alternatives on domestic debt management and public expenditures on education, cohort welfare, and growth for the Turkish economy. We utilise a growth model in the overlapping generations (OLG) tradition with intertemporally optimising agents and open capital markets, calibrated to the Turkish economy in 1990s. We examine the macroeconomic effects of the current IMF-led austerity programme driven by the objective of attaining primary fiscal surpluses and illus...
Monetary policy trilemma, inflation targeting and global financial crisis
Gulsen, Eda; Özmen, Erdal (Wiley, 2020-04-01)
We empirically investigate the validity of the monetary policy trilemma postulation for emerging market (EME) and advanced (AE) economies under different exchange rate and monetary policy regimes before and after the recent global financial crisis (GFC). Consistent with the dilemma proposition, domestic interest rates are determined by global financial conditions and the FED rate even under floating exchange rate regimes (ERR) in the long-run. The impact of the FED rates is higher in EME than AE and EME are...
Real wages, profit margins and inflation in Turkish manufacturing under post-liberalization
Günay, Aslı; Metin-Ozcan, K; Yeldan, E (Informa UK Limited, 2005-09-10)
This article reports investigations into the behaviour of gross profit margins (mark-ups) in Turkish manufacturing industries for the post-1980 liberalization period in relation to price inflation, trade liberalization (openness) and real wage costs. Panel data econometrics over 29 subsectors of Turkish manufacturing are used over the period 1980-1996. Results suggest that profit margins are positively and significantly related both to price inflation and real wage costs. However, openness is found to have ...
Macroeconomics of twin targeting in Turkey analytics of a financial computable general equilibrium model
TELLİ, ÇAĞATAY; Voyvoda, Ebru; YELDAN, ALP ERİNÇ (Informa UK Limited, 2008-03-01)
The paper provides an overview of the post-1998 Turkish economy and constructs a macroeconomic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to illustrate the real and financial sectoral adjustments of the Turkish economy under the conditionalities of the 'twin targets': on primary surplus to gross national product (GNP) ratio and on the inflation rate. We further utilize the model to study three sets of issues: (i) the critical role of the expanded foreign capital inflows in resolving the macroeconomic impass...
Citation Formats
O. Senay and A. Sutherland, “Foreign money shocks and the welfare performance of alternative monetary policy regimes,” SCANDINAVIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, pp. 245–266, 2007, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: