Inflation Targeting in South Africa Friend or Foe of Development

2011-06-01
In this study we focus on the South African experience with inflation targeting. We make two major claims in this paper. First, the South African experience with inflation targeting before the crisis was not successful, not in terms of advocates’ self-stated goals and certainly not in terms of key, ultimate real sector goals such as lower unemployment and higher economic growth. Second, as in a number of other countries, the SARB policy regime as well as its rhetoric about monetary policy significantly changed in response to the crisis of 2008. While these changes are an important step in the right direction of reorienting monetary policy toward important real goals of employment generation and economic growth, they are nevertheless still not adequate to the crucial task of creating a macroeconomic framework geared toward achieving these crucial goals.
Economic History of Developing Regions

Suggestions

Inflation across income groups: the case of Turkey
Çelik, Duygu; Parmaksız, Ömer Kağan; Cömert, Hasan; Department of Economics (2020-10)
This study, covering the period from 2004 to 2018, investigates the inflation differentials across income groups and the determinants of group-specific inflation in Turkey. We use the micro-data from the Household Budget Survey and consumer price data to calculate group-specific inflation rates. We find that inflation differentials across income groups vary throughout time in Turkey. Lower-income groups have higher inflation exposures in first half the period under investigation, especially between 20...
Inflation targeting and financial dollarization: an empirical investigation
Gökten, Selin; Özmen, Erdal; Department of Economics (2008)
This study investigates the implications of financial dollarization for inflation targeting framework. To this end, monetary policy rule, inflation targeting performance and international reserves equations are estimated for twenty four inflation targeting countries with different levels of financial dollarization. The results based on the panel data estimations indicate that monetary policy rule and behavior of accumulating international reserves are affected by the degree of financial dollarization. Furth...
Exchange rate pass-through and inflation targeting
Gülşen, Eda; Özmen, Erdal; Department of Economics (2009)
In this study, we aim to investigate the impact of inflation targeting (IT) and the recent global disinflation on exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) using quarterly data from 1980:1 to 2009:1 for 51 industrial and emerging market (EM) countries. To this end, we employ not only the conventional panel data estimation methods but also the recent Common Correlated Effects Pooled estimation procedure by Pesaran (2006) which allows estimating the impact of common global shocks such as global inflation. We also exp...
Drivers of inflation in developing countries
Şengül, Zeki Oğulcan; Parmaksız, Ömer Kağan; Cömert, Hasan; Department of Economics (2020-10)
This study aims to examine the drivers of inflation for selected developing countries to compare the relative roles of internal and external factors. The study covers the period from 1995 to 2019, using PVAR and VAR Models. In this study, we want to test the hypothesis that the drivers of inflation have changed after the globalization. According to our results, as the world economy globalized, the inflation dynamics changed in favor of the external drivers. The exchange rate is the common driver of in...
Inflation targeting and fiscal dominance : evidence from Turkey
Sel, Tuğba; Özmen, Elif; Department of Economics (2007)
This study investigates the significance of fiscal dominance for an inflation targeting regime in the context of the recent Turkish experience. To this end, capital flows and country risk equations are estimated for the Turkish monthly data pertaining the inflation targeting regime implementation period. The results from the capital flows models based on portfolio approach strongly suggest that the real effective exchange rates in Turkey during the period are determined by foreign interest rates and the Eme...
Citation Formats
H. Cömert, “Inflation Targeting in South Africa Friend or Foe of Development,” Economic History of Developing Regions, pp. 94–113, 2011, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/69218.