Modeling electrical energy production in Northwestern Cyprus based on solar and wind measurements

Yenen, Mehmet
This thesis presents the solar and wind energy assessment and aims to model the link between measurement and electrical energy production from wind and solar resources in Northwestern Cyprus. The measurement systems were installed and the measurements from these systems were analyzed thoroughly to meet the expectations of this thesis. Existing mathematical models were used to calculate electrical energy production figures for wind and solar energy. A circuit based Photovoltaic (PV) model from the literature was used and compared with Serhatköy PV module spec sheet parameters. In order to validate the model, Serhatköy PV farm Global Tilted Irradiation (GTI) data was used and electricity generation estimation there was obtained with an annual average of 5% error. Using Global Horizontal Irradiation (GHI) and Direct Normal Irradiation (DNI) measurements of Middle East Technical University Northern Cyprus Campus (METU NCC), a prediction method in the literature was used to estimate the GTI on Serhatköy. Using the methodology developed in this thesis, these gaps in energy production are filled, and a better potential estimate can be obtained. One of the main goals of this thesis is to verify the developed methodology to be able to predict PV electricity production with reasonable accuracy for any specific location in Northwestern Cyprus. A mathematical model from the literature was used for wind energy generation. Solar electricity generation estimation indicated an annual 2118 kWh/m2 GTI in Serhatköy, with an annual average error of 2.37%. Using estimated GTI value from METU NCC measurement station, Serhatköy electricity generation was predicted with an annual average error of about 4%. Wind energy electricity generation prediction was below world standards unlike the results of solar energy assessment. Numerical comparisons were shown in this thesis and compared to other results with European countries. Although a methodology was developed to estimate the wind electricity generation, it is concluded that it can be only applied to METU NCC.


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Citation Formats
M. Yenen, “Modeling electrical energy production in Northwestern Cyprus based on solar and wind measurements,” M.S. - Master of Science, Middle East Technical University, 2015.