Rassal tavsiyeden yararlanma ve karar performansı

Date

2016-04-01

Author

Özarslan, Ali

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Karar alırken tavsiye almanın önemi son 30 yıldır gitgide artmaktadır. Öneri alma konusundaki mevcut çalışmalar tavsiye kullanımıyla ilgili rasgele veya doğru tavsiye gibi farklı tavsiye türlerini göz önünde bulundurarak çeşitli numerik teknikler kullanmışlardır. Bu çalışmada rasgele tavsiye metodu kulanılmış ve deney çalışması yoluyla yargısal tahminlerde çokça kullanılan numerik teknikler (formül-tabanlı, regresyon-tabanlı ve ölçek-tabanlı) karşılaştırılmış ve insanların öneriden yararlanmasıyla kararlarlarındaki tutarlılık performansı arasındaki ilişki incelenmiştir. Bunu yaparken tavsiyeyi kullanmayanlar ve aşırı kullananlar özel durum sayılarak ayrı değerlendirilmiştir. Sonuçlara göre tavsiyeden yararlanma derecesini ölçen yöntemlerden regresyon tabanlı olan daha detaylı bilgi vermiştir. Öte yandan tavsiyeyi kullanmayanların performanslarında düşüklük yaşanırken kullananlarda daha iyi sonuçlar elde edildiği görülmüştür. Tavsiye almadan önceki kararlardaki performansla tavsiyeden yararlanma arasındaki ilişki incelenmiştir. Son olarak ilerde neler üzerine yoğunlaşılabileceği önerilmiştir

Subject Keywords

Rassal öneri, Öneri alma, Hakem-danışman sistemi, Öneri kullanma, Karar analizi, Random advice, Advice taking, Judge-advisor system, Advice utilization, Decision analysis

URI

https://hdl.handle.net/11511/75699

Journal

Uluslararası Yönetim Araştırmaları Dergisi

Collections

Department of Business Administration, Article

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Citation Formats

A. Özarslan, “Rassal tavsiyeden yararlanma ve karar performansı,” Uluslararası Yönetim Araştırmaları Dergisi, pp. 213–224, 2016, Accessed: 00, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/75699.