Gross capital inflows and outflows: Twins or distant cousins?

2021-01-01
Taşdemir, Fatma
Özmen, Erdal
We investigate the long-run relations and equilibrium correction mechanisms between gross capital inflows, outflows and global financial conditions for advanced (AE) and emerging market economies (EME). According to our results, the puzzling findings of the recent literature suggesting that domestic and foreign investors act as distant cousins, leading to capital inflows and outflows to act as twins, tend to be supported for the long run. The short-run relations, however, often appear to be consistent with the conventional theory suggesting that the behaviors of residents and non-residents do not systematically diverge from each other. Consistent with flight to safety concerns, capital outflows from EME and capital inflows to AE tend to increase in the long run in response to worsening global financial conditions. We find that these results essentially hold for the main components of capital flows as well.
Economic Systems

Suggestions

Gross capital inflows and outflows: Twins or distant Cousins?
Özmen, Erdal (null; 2018-12-24)
We investigate the long-run relations and equilibrium correction mechanisms between gross capital inflows, outflows and global financial conditions for advanced and emerging market economies. According to our results, the findings of the recent empirical literature, suggesting that twin behaviour of capital inflows and outflows resulting from domestic and foreign investors to behave as distant cousins tend to be the case for the long-run. The short-run relations, however, often appear to be consistent with ...
Real Exchange Rates and Growth: Contractionary Depreciations or Appreciations?
Özmen, Erdal; YOLCU KARADAM, DUYGU (2021-01-01)
This study investigates the impact of real exchange rates (RER) on growth of a large number of advanced (AE) and developing economies (DE) estimating conventional growth models augmented with global financial conditions variables. First of all, replicating Rodrik (2008) and following studies employing panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) and PARDL mean group (PARDL-MG) models, we show that the expansionary depreciation findings for DE are often based on a misinterpretation of an error correction mec...
Managing financial instability in emerging markets: A Keynesian perspective
Akyüz, Yılmaz (Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi (Ankara, Turkey), 2008-6)
The Keynesian analysis of financial instability as developed by Hyman Minsky provides considerable insights into understanding the nature and dynamics of boom-bust cycles driven by international capital flows in emerging markets. Its main policy conclusion that financial control rather than macroeconomic policy holds the key to financial stability is equally valid. There is, however, need to develop a new approach to financial control and place greater emphasis on managing capital inflows than has hitherto ...
Term structure of government bond yields : a macro-finance approach
Artam, Halil; Yıldırak, Şahap Kasırga; Department of Financial Mathematics (2006)
Interactions between macroeconomic fundamentals and term structure of interest rates be stronger according to the way of changes in structure of worldwide economy. Combined macro-finance analysis determines the joint dynamics of term structure of interest rates and macroeconomic fundamentals. This thesis provides analysis of two existing macro-finance models and an original one. Parameter estimations for these three macro-finance term structure models are done for monthly Turkish data by use of an efficient...
Business cycles in emerging market economies: the role of financial shocks
Pirgan Matur, Eser; Parmaksız, Ömer Kağan; Kılınç, Mustafa; Department of Economics (2014)
This dissertation documents the differences in the course of macroeconomic volatility in emerging market economies and advanced countries. Then the dynamics of emerging market business cycles and macroeconomic effects of financial shocks are investigated using a small open economy real business cycle model with credit constraints calibrated to the Turkish economy. The results indicate that the impact of financial shocks crucially depends on whether the firms can access to alternative sources of finance when...
Citation Formats
F. Taşdemir and E. Özmen, “Gross capital inflows and outflows: Twins or distant cousins?,” Economic Systems, pp. 0–0, 2021, Accessed: 00, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85110350707&origin=inward.