Unemployment or Inflation? What Does the Misery Index Say about the Causes of Crime?

Çuhadar, Pınar
Cafrı Açcı, Reyhan
Even if the analysis of illegal activities takes attention after the 1960s in economics, the cause and consequence of crime is an old subject for social sciences. The first period of crime and economics analysis was micro-based theories focusing on a person’s intensive for illegal activities. However, in recent years macroeconomics based analysis gain weight in literature instead of micro-based cost-benefit analysis of crime. The study examines the misery index and crime linkages for the 'Fragile Five', using dynamic panel data analysis for 2004-2017. It is found that the increases in the index of misery cause rising crime rates.


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This thesis argues that organized crime is a sociological phenomenon with criminological dimensions that constitutes a threat to public security and order, economic development, social integrity, democracy and peace in Turkey, and consequently to the national security of the country. Sociological and political causes of organized criminality will be assessed through a multidimensional approach based on the identification of different conceptual areas and related indicators that characterize organized crime ...
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Historical Sociology and International Relations: Geopolitics, Capitalism and State System
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Citation Formats
P. Çuhadar and R. Cafrı Açcı, “Unemployment or Inflation? What Does the Misery Index Say about the Causes of Crime?,” ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi, vol. 48, no. 2, pp. 185–200, 2021, Accessed: 00, 2022. [Online]. Available: http://www2.feas.metu.edu.tr/metusd/ojs/index.php/metusd/article/view/1136.