Impact of Russia's Military Transformation on Black Sea Security

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2022-9
Mevlütoğlu, Mehmet Arda
After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Russian Federation struggled to keep its economy, society and military together, not to mention its borders throughout the 1990s. The bad shape of economy and rapidly decomposing capabilities of the armed forces weakened strategic posture and deterrent capability of Russia. Starting from early 2000s, Russia showed signs of recovery in economy, which in turn helped maintenance and upgrade of the armed forces. It was in this period that Russia showed more cooperation approach towards West, establishing and keeping strategic dialogue channels, collaboration and partnership on several regional and global issues. Black Sea was, therefore, relatively calm in terms of geopolitical competition. However, starting from late 2000s things rapidly started to change. With more resources allocated for military modernization, Russia resumed its claims, aims and activities in the Black Sea region. 2008 war with Georgia was a turning point for military modernization while the Arab Spring and civil wars in Libya and Syria were alarm bells for Moscow. It was after these events that Russia started to be more assertive and it is the crisis in Ukraine in 2014 that represents the milestone for Black Sea region competition. Russias military modernization programs and doctrinal transformation manifests itself in the modernization of the Black Sea fleet and its activities. This thesis aims to provide a general overview of this transformation and its meaning for the security of the region.

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Citation Formats
M. A. Mevlütoğlu, “Impact of Russia’s Military Transformation on Black Sea Security,” M.S. - Master of Science, Middle East Technical University, 2022.