Exchange rate pass-through into domestic price indicators: a sectoral analysis of Turkish economy

Download

index.pdf

Date

2011

Author

Özen, Emine Özgü

Metadata

Show full item record

Item Usage Stats

252
views

111
downloads

The question of exchange rate pass-through into domestic inflation is a widely analyzed issue due to its importance as regards to monetary policy, exchange rate policy and in general macroeconomic policy for open economies. Although most of the literature is focused on the exchange rate pass-through at the aggregate level, there are fewer studies that are done at the sectoral level for the Turkish economy. In this study by using a distribution chain of pricing model developed by McCarthy (2000), pass-through of exchange rates and import prices into domestic prices for selected sectors are examined for the Turkish economy. The emprical model estimates a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) to see pass-through dynamics through times and across the selected sectors. This study covers March 2002-December 2010 period; the period of floating exchange rates. Findings indicate that pass-through has fallen recently in Turkey. Moreover, results of the analysis show that external factors explain an important proportion of the variance of domestic prices for the sectors which have a larger import share.

Subject Keywords

Foreign exchange rates., Economics

URI

http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12613962/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/21065

Collections

Graduate School of Social Sciences, Thesis

Suggestions

OpenMETU
Core

Modeling of exchange rates by multivariate adaptive regression splines and comparison with classical statistical methods Köksal, Ece; Weber, Gerhard Wilhelm; Department of Financial Mathematics (2017) Economic factors like inflation, interest rates and exchange rates are among the leading indicators of a country’s relative level of economic health. With the help of technological improvements and global requirements, trading volume and a wide range of commerce network, exchange rates play a vital role in economics and finance since a higher exchange rate may result in a lower trade balance of a country, whereas a lower rate may cause an increase. Inflation, interest rates, domestic money supply growth, a ...
Exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices in Turkish economy Alper, Koray; Gaygısız Lajunen, Esma; Department of Economics (2003) In this study, determinants and the evolution of the exchange rate passthrough to domestic inflation in the Turkish economy is analyzed. The analyses cover the 1987-2003 period. In the analyses, single equation أError Correction Modelsؤ are used to estimate the exchange rate pass-through. Estimation results suggest that alike other emerging countries, the degree of exchange rate passthrough to domestic prices is high and the pass-through is completed in a very short time span. Estimations results also indic...
Debt sustainability and the exchange rate: The case of Turkey Keyder, Nur (Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi (Ankara, Turkey), 2003-6-1) The paper attempts to estimate the primary surplus requirement for debt sustainability in Turkey, taking into consideration not only the operational deficit and seigniorage factors but also the exchange rate factor. In estimations, a modified version of the approach suggested by the World Bank (World Bank, 2000, “Turkey-Country Economic Memorandum-Structural Reforms for Sustainable Growth, Vol. I and II”, Report No. 20657-TU, Washington, DC, 16-18; 121-4) is used. The analysis is carried out in two steps. F...
Exchange Rate Regimes and Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation Erdem, Fatma Pinar; Özmen, Erdal (2015-11-01) This paper empirically investigates the impacts of domestic and external factors along with exchange rate regimes (ERRs) on business cycles in a large panel of advanced and emerging market economies (EME). The results for classical business cycles suggest that EME tend to experience much deeper recessions and relatively steeper expansions during almost the same duration. The probability of expansions significantly increases with ERR flexibility. Our results strongly support floating ERR for both advanced an...
Monetary policy trilemma, inflation targeting and global financial crisis Gulsen, Eda; Özmen, Erdal (Wiley, 2020-04-01) We empirically investigate the validity of the monetary policy trilemma postulation for emerging market (EME) and advanced (AE) economies under different exchange rate and monetary policy regimes before and after the recent global financial crisis (GFC). Consistent with the dilemma proposition, domestic interest rates are determined by global financial conditions and the FED rate even under floating exchange rate regimes (ERR) in the long-run. The impact of the FED rates is higher in EME than AE and EME are...

Citation Formats

E. Ö. Özen, “ Exchange rate pass-through into domestic price indicators: a sectoral analysis of Turkish economy ,” M.S. - Master of Science, Middle East Technical University, 2011.