Show/Hide Menu
Hide/Show Apps
Logout
Türkçe
Türkçe
Search
Search
Login
Login
OpenMETU
OpenMETU
About
About
Open Science Policy
Open Science Policy
Open Access Guideline
Open Access Guideline
Postgraduate Thesis Guideline
Postgraduate Thesis Guideline
Communities & Collections
Communities & Collections
Help
Help
Frequently Asked Questions
Frequently Asked Questions
Guides
Guides
Thesis submission
Thesis submission
MS without thesis term project submission
MS without thesis term project submission
Publication submission with DOI
Publication submission with DOI
Publication submission
Publication submission
Supporting Information
Supporting Information
General Information
General Information
Copyright, Embargo and License
Copyright, Embargo and License
Contact us
Contact us
Maritime accidents forecast model for bosphorus
Download
index.pdf
Date
2012
Author
Küçükosmanoğlu, Alp
Metadata
Show full item record
Item Usage Stats
299
views
130
downloads
Cite This
A risk assessment model (MAcRisk) have been developed to forecast the probability and the risk of maritime accidents on Bosphorus. Accident archives of Undersecretariat Maritime Affairs Search and Rescue Department, weather conditions data of Turkish State Meteorological Service and bathymetry and current maps of Office of Navigation, Hydrography and Oceanography have been used to prepare the model input and to forecast the accident probability. Accident data has been compiled according to stated sub-regions on Bosphorus and event type of accidents such as collision, grounding, capsizing, fire and other. All data that could be obtained are used to clarify the relationship on accident reasons. An artificial neural network model has been developed to forecast the maritime accidents in Bosphorus.
Subject Keywords
Marine accidents
,
Bosporus (Turkey)
URI
http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12614149/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/21479
Collections
Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Thesis
Suggestions
OpenMETU
Core
Reliability-Based Risk Assessment of Rubble Mound Breakwaters Under Tsunami Attack
Ergin, Ayşen (2002-09-01)
In the reliability-based risk assessment, the second order reliability index (beta II) method and the Conditional Expectation Monte Carlo (CEMC) simulation were utilised in order to analyse the safety levels of Haydarpasa Port main breakwater, Sea of Marmara, Turkey. The failure probability was forecasted in the beta II method by approximating the Hudson performance surface with a second-degree polynomial having an equal curvature at the design point where the design and structural parameters were taken int...
Maritime Search and Rescue (MSAR) Operations: An Analysis of Optimal Asset Allocation
Akbayrak, Erhan; Tural, Mustafa Kemal (null, 2017-01-01)
Managing sea rescue assets and their distribution in the various search and rescue (SAR) locations should be carried out according to some well-defined criteria in order to cover SAR areas of the world properly. In this chapter, we intend to give a comparative literature review of maritime search and rescue (MSAR) operations with more emphasis on asset allocation. A framework of a new approach that aims to locate SAR stations and allocate SAR assets to the stations is introduced to the MSAR literature that ...
Seismic damage assessment using synthetic ground motions: a case study for Erzincan
Karim Zadeh Naghshineh, Shaghayegh; Askan Gündoğan, Ayşegül; Erberik, Murat Altuğ; Yakut, Ahmet (2015-10-14)
Estimation of seismic losses is a fundamental step for risk mitigation decision-making in urban regions. As the study region, Erzincan, a city on the eastern part of Turkey is selected which is located in the conjunction of three active faults as right lateral North Anatolian Fault, left lateral North East Anatolian Fault and left lateral Ovacik fault. Erzincan city center is in a pull-apart basin underlain by soft sediments that has experienced devastating earthquakes such as the 27 December 1939 (Ms8.0) ...
Affect of shear strength criteria selection in probabilistic rock slope stability analyses: A case study for a jointed rock slope in Norway
Düzgün, Hafize Şebnem; Bhasin, R. K. (2007-05-31)
Probabilistic rock slope stability analyses are essential to risk assessments, as risk is defined by the probability of occurrence of an instability multiplied by the consequences of the failure. Usually, probabilistic rock slope stability problems are modeled using the Coulomb failure criterion since it is linear, providing simple modeling algorithms. It is acknowledged widely that rock slope stability problems may exhibit non-linear failure behavior, leading to consideration of non-linear limit equilibriu...
Performance analysis of open-source DEMs in tsunami inundation modelling
Tüfekçi Enginar, Duygu; Dogan, Gozde Guney; Süzen, Mehmet Lütfi; Yalçıner, Ahmet Cevdet (2022-08-01)
In natural hazard modeling, underestimation is not acceptable, since it will produce unreliable and inadequate information for decision makers to work on during hazard mitigation planning. Including tsunami inundation modeling, result of the natural hazard models is highly sensitive to the accuracy of input data. High resolution elevation data, such as light detection and ranging (LiDAR) Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) can provide modeling results that are closer to the reality. However, gathering such high...
Citation Formats
IEEE
ACM
APA
CHICAGO
MLA
BibTeX
A. Küçükosmanoğlu, “Maritime accidents forecast model for bosphorus,” Ph.D. - Doctoral Program, Middle East Technical University, 2012.
