On the single name CDS price under structural modeling

2014-03-15
GOKGOZ, I. H.
Uğur, Ömür
Okur, Y. Yolcu
Regulators, banks and other market participants realized that true assessment of the credit risk is more critical and complex than their ex-ante appraisals after the US Credit Crunch. They have turned their attention to complex credit risk models and credit instruments such as credit derivatives. Credit default swap contracts (CDSs) are the most common credit derivatives used for speculation and hedging purposes in the credit markets. Thus, in this paper we fundamentally study the pricing of a single name CDS via the discounted cash flow method with survival probability functions of two pioneer structural credit risk models, Merton model and Black-Cox model with constant barrier. Hence, this approach is not only a new one, but also provides a practical technique to price CDSs using publicly available data of equity returns. Crown Copyright (C) 2013 Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL AND APPLIED MATHEMATICS

Suggestions

Credit Risk Market and the Recent Loan Profile in the Turkish Banking Sector
Özdemir, Özlem (2009-05-01)
Very little research has been done on the financial stability implications of credit risk transfer markets. In particular there is a paucity of work considering the interactions between the various credit risk transfer markets or instruments. Regarding credit derivatives, the small number of existing studies can be explained by a lack of quantitative data and by the brief history of the market" (Kiff et al., 2002, page 2). This paper tries to explain the development of credit risk transfer instruments and h...
Efficient simulation and modelling of counterparty credit risk
Hekimoğlu, Alper Ali; Uğur, Ömür; Kestel, Sevtap Ayşe; Department of Financial Mathematics (2018)
After 2008-2009 crisis, measurement of Counterparty Credit risk has become an essential part of Basel-III regulations. The measurement involves a complex calculation, simulation and scenario generation process which involve a heavy computational cost. Moreover, the counterparty default calculation is an important part depending on scenario generation and state of the economy, state of the counterparty, liquidity as well as the bank itself. In this thesis we develop flexible structural credit risk models and...
Pricing of sovereign credit risk : application to Turkey
Aslan, Aylin; Akbostancı Özkazanç, Elif; Department of Economics (2013)
This thesis investigates the pricing of sovereign credit risk in the bond and credit default swap (CDS) market for Turkey. Using daily data, CDS premiums and Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI) are examined over the period 1, January 2001- 20, June 2012. Firstly, the short-run and long-run determinants of CDS premiums are compared with those of EMBI, employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. Then, the basis, the difference between CDS and EMBI spreads is analyzed seeking the...
The Effects of different types of credit growth in developing countries in comparison to developed countries
Uçar, Ezgi; Cömert, Hasan; Department of Economics (2019)
This thesis aims to identify the relationship between credit booms and banking crises. Credit is disaggregated into credit to non-financial corporations and credit to households and non-profit institutions serving households. The analysis covers 10 developing and 10 developed countries between 1994 and 2017. Method of Mendoza and Terrones (2008) is followed in identification of booms. Signal extraction analysis is employed to identify the most appropriate smoothing parameter and threshold coefficient. 1600 ...
Pricing and hedging of constant proportion debt obligations
İşcanoğlu Çekiç, Ayşegül; Uğur, Ömür; Korn, Ralf; Department of Financial Mathematics (2011)
A Constant Proportion Debt Obligation is a credit derivative which has been introduced to generate a surplus return over a riskless market return. The surplus payments should be obtained by synthetically investing in a risky asset (such as a credit index) and using a linear leverage strategy which is capped for bounding the risk. In this thesis, we investigate two approaches for investigation of constant proportion debt obligations. First, we search for an optimal leverage strategy which minimises the mean-...
Citation Formats
I. H. GOKGOZ, Ö. Uğur, and Y. Y. Okur, “On the single name CDS price under structural modeling,” JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL AND APPLIED MATHEMATICS, pp. 406–412, 2014, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/32376.