Show/Hide Menu
Hide/Show Apps
Logout
Türkçe
Türkçe
Search
Search
Login
Login
OpenMETU
OpenMETU
About
About
Open Science Policy
Open Science Policy
Open Access Guideline
Open Access Guideline
Postgraduate Thesis Guideline
Postgraduate Thesis Guideline
Communities & Collections
Communities & Collections
Help
Help
Frequently Asked Questions
Frequently Asked Questions
Guides
Guides
Thesis submission
Thesis submission
MS without thesis term project submission
MS without thesis term project submission
Publication submission with DOI
Publication submission with DOI
Publication submission
Publication submission
Supporting Information
Supporting Information
General Information
General Information
Copyright, Embargo and License
Copyright, Embargo and License
Contact us
Contact us
Climate change vulnerability in agriculture and adaptation strategies of farmers to climatic stresses in Konya, Turkey
Download
index.pdf
Date
2019
Author
Kuş, Melike.
Metadata
Show full item record
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License
.
Item Usage Stats
265
views
188
downloads
Cite This
Agriculture is highly vulnerable to climatic changes and extremes as it is generally an outdoor activity. Its vulnerability to climate change is estimated at different scales and then policies are developed to reduce sensitivity and improve adaptive capacity of the farmers accordingly. Assessments at different scales use different methodologies and indicators, which result in incomparable outcomes. Macro scale assessments lack further validation of the results at the local level, and the local level assessments do not clarify to what extent the household level vulnerability is generalizable to upper scales. Existing literature lacks a methodology combining the vulnerability assessments at different scales and determining the drivers of vulnerability acting at these scales. This thesis develops a multi scale approach to evaluate climate change vulnerability in agriculture sector using comparable indicators at district and household levels. Selection and weighing of indicators used in the calculation of vulnerability are generally criticized in terms of subjectivity. In this study, an index is developed using district level data and a socio-economic survey is conducted to evaluate the success of the selected indicators in explaining the variation in vulnerability levels of the farmers. In order to determine the vulnerability levels of the farmers, a new vulnerability calculation method is introduced. Household level vulnerability is defined as a function of crop losses due to climatic changes and extremes and the difficulty level of compensation of the losses. Household level data is analyzed using both linear (Multiple Linear Regression) and non-linear regression (Random Forest) methods to understand the structure of the data better and find out the significant indicators with a model with higher explanatory power. The results show that the indicator approach can be used for determining highly vulnerable areas for prioritizing the actions at the macro scale. The factors significantly affecting the household level vulnerability are dependency ratio of the household, number of memberships to agricultural organizations, percentage of land with good soil quality and percentage of rain-fed land. The results also show that increasing number of livestock and agricultural equipment owned significantly contribute to adaptive behavior of the farmers. The results of this study can help policy makers to prioritize the policy subjects and implementation areas to get more influential results.
Subject Keywords
Agriculture
,
Agriculture Climatic factors.
,
Climate change adaptation; Climate change vulnerability index; Multiple linear regression; Random forest regression.
URI
http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12623265/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/43397
Collections
Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Thesis
Suggestions
OpenMETU
Core
Climate change effects on nitrogen loading from cultivated catchments in Europe: implications for nitrogen retention, ecological state of lakes and adaptation
Jeppesen,Jeppesen, Erik,Erik; Kronvang, Brian; Olesen, Jorgen E.; Audet, Joachim; Sondergaard, Martin; Hoffmann, Carl C.; Andersen, Hans E.; Lauridsen, Torben L.; Liboriussen, Lone; Larsen, Soren E.; Beklioglu, Meryem; Meerhoff,Meerhoff, Mariana,Mariana; Özen, Arda; Özkan, Korhan (2011-03-01)
Climate change might have profound effects on the nitrogen (N) dynamics in the cultivated landscape as well as on N transport in streams and the eutrophication of lakes. N loading from land to streams is expected to increase in North European temperate lakes due to higher winter rainfall and changes in cropping patterns. Scenario (IPCC, A2) analyses using a number of models of various complexity for Danish streams and lakes suggest an increase in runoff and N transport on an annual basis (higher during wint...
Climate change and irrigation in Turkey: A CGE approach
Dudu, Hasan; Cakmak, Erol H.; Saraçoğlu, Dürdane Şirin (2010-01-01)
Agricultural production is heavily dependent on water availability for increasing productivity and decreasing volatility in production. However climate change is expected to increase the sectoral competition for water resources and raise the need for major changes in water policies. This study is the first to analyze the likely effects of climate change and changes in the Turkish economy via an economy-wide Walrasian Computable General Equilibrium model with a detailed account of the agricultural sector: 20...
Prioritization and selection of climate change adaptation measures: a review of the literature
Dogulu, Nilay; Kentel Erdoğan, Elçin (2015-07-03)
Adaptation to climate change is key to reduce associated risks and develop climate resilient communities. Adaptation measures should be designed for both current and future impacts of climate change. Nevertheless, the inherent uncertainty in climate change and its impacts, and also the intrinsic complexity in climate change adaptation process present challenges in developing, planning, and effective implementation of appropriate adaptation strategies in many countries. Despite the improvements, it is due to...
Climate change impacts on lakes: an integrated ecological perspective based on a multi-faceted approach, with special focus on shallow lakes
Jeppesen, Erik; Meerhoff, Mariana; Davidson, Thomas A.; Trolle, Dennis; Sondergaard, Martin; Lauridsen, Torben L.; Beklioğlu, Meryem; Brucet, Sandra; Volta, Pietro; Gonzalez-Bergonzoni, Ivan; Nielsen, Anders (PAGEPress Publications, 2014-01-01)
Freshwater ecosystems and their biodiversity are presently seriously threatened by global development and population growth, leading to increases in nutrient inputs and intensification of eutrophication-induced problems in receiving fresh waters, particularly in lakes. Climate change constitutes another threat exacerbating the symptoms of eutrophication and species migration and loss. Unequivocal evidence of climate change impacts is still highly fragmented despite the intensive research, in part due to the...
Seasonal variations of morpho-functional phytoplankton groups influence the top-down control of a cladoceran in a tropical hypereutrophic lake
Alves Amorım, Cıhelıo; Valenca, Celina Rebeca; de Moura-Falcao, Rafael Henrique; Moura, Ariadne do Nascimento (2019-09-01)
Shallow lakes are often affected by the increase in nutrients and global climate change, with frequent occurrences of cyanobacterial blooms. In this context, the biomanipulation of the higher trophic levels, such as zooplankton, can efficiently control these blooms. Based on this, this study aimed to verify the potential of a medium-sized cladoceran, Macrothrix spinosa, to control the phytoplankton biomass from the Apipucos reservoir, a shallow tropical hypereutrophic lake. For this, grazing experiments wer...
Citation Formats
IEEE
ACM
APA
CHICAGO
MLA
BibTeX
M. Kuş, “Climate change vulnerability in agriculture and adaptation strategies of farmers to climatic stresses in Konya, Turkey,” Thesis (Ph.D.) -- Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences. Earth System Science., Middle East Technical University, 2019.