Fuzzy modeling approach for integrated assessments using cultural theory

2000-01-01
Yazıcı, Adnan
Pendergraft, C
It has already been noted that predicting societal responses accurately requires the use of a formal model such as cultural theory. A basic belief of cultural theory is that all societies and their underlying worldviews, irrespective of time or place, must be more or less hierarchic, more or less individualistic, more or less egalitarian, or more or less fatalistic. This approach has a potential for cross-temporal and spatial comparisons that makes it a particularly attractive instrument for a study of the human dimensions of global climate change. However, a significant difficulty in the previous attempts for utilizing cultural theory in integrated assessment models (IAMs) has been the inexactness or uncertainty inherent in both IAMs and cultural theory. In this paper we introduce a fuzzy-based modeling approach that makes use of cultural theory in integrated assessment approach to provide a mechanism for understanding the reaction of a populace to environmental policy decisions.
INTELLIGENT PROBLEM SOLVING: METHODOLOGIES AND APPROACHES, PRODEEDINGS

Suggestions

Possibilistic interpretation of mistuning in bladed disks by fuzzy algebra
Karataş, Hamit Çağlar; Özgüven, Hasan Nevzat; Ciğeroğlu, Ender; Department of Mechanical Engineering (2012)
This study aims to define the possibilistic interpretation of mistuning and examine the way of determining the worst case situations and assessing reliability value to that case by using possibilistic methods. Furthermore, in this study, benefits of using possibilistic interpretation of mistuning in comparison to probabilistic interpretation of mistuning are investigated. For the possibilistic analysis of mistuned structures, uncertain mistuning parameters are modeled as fuzzy variables possessing possibili...
Fuzzy versus statistical linear regression
Kim, KJ; Moskowitz, H; Köksalan, Mustafa Murat (1996-07-19)
Statistical linear regression and fuzzy linear regression have been developed from different perspectives, and thus there exist several conceptual and methodological differences between the two approaches. The characteristics of both methods, in terms of basic assumptions, parameter estimation, and application are described and contrasted. Their descriptive and predictive capabilities are also compared via a simulation experiment to identify the conditions under which one outperforms the other. It turns out...
Appropriateness of a cognitive approach to Donald Davidson's meaning theory
Ağoğlu, Eser; Sayan, Erdinç; Department of Philosophy (2008)
The purpose of this study is to discuss the appropriateness of a cognitive approach to Donald Davidson's meaning theory. Davidson makes the bold proposal that a truth theory, modified for a natural language, may be treated as a meaning theory for that language. According to Davidson, a meaning theory is an empirical theory. Radical Interpretation is at the center of such an empirical inquiry which places restrictions on the truth theory to make it suitable as a meaning theory without appeal to semantic noti...
Decision fusion for supervised, unsupervised and semi-supervised learnings
Özay, Mete; Yarman Vural, Fatoş Tunay; Department of Computer Engineering (2013)
In this thesis, Decision Fusion approaches have been analyzed for Supervised, Unsupervised and Semi-supervised Learning problems. In Supervised Learning, classification or generalization error minimization problem has been studied by analyzing the classification error of a classification algorithm into two parts. In the first part, the minimization of the difference between N-sample and large-sample classification error of k-NN has been studied using a hierarchical decision fusion algorithm called Fuzzy Sta...
Mental content and mentalistic causal explanation: a case against externalism
Sarıhan, Işık; Temürcü, Ceyhan; Sayan, Erdinç; Department of Cognitive Sciences (2010)
This thesis presents a defense of the view that externalism cannot be a theoretical basis of a mentalistic causal-explanatory science, even though such a theoretical basis is implicitly or explicitly adopted by many cognitive scientists. Externalism is a theory in philosophy of mind which states that mental properties are relations between the core realizers of an individual’s mental states (such as brain states) and certain things that exist outside those realizers (such as what the content of a mental sta...
Citation Formats
A. Yazıcı and C. Pendergraft, “Fuzzy modeling approach for integrated assessments using cultural theory,” INTELLIGENT PROBLEM SOLVING: METHODOLOGIES AND APPROACHES, PRODEEDINGS, pp. 250–259, 2000, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/62837.