Provincial Growth in Turkey: A Spatial Econometric Analysis

2017-06-01
Akcagun, Pelin
This study investigates the conditional income convergence hypotheses among provinces of Turkey over 1991-2009 period using a comprehensive set of spatial econometric models and two alternative definitions of spatial weights matrices. Particular attention is given to the alterations of the political and economic structures in the two sub-periods 1991-2001 and 2002-2009. We first consider non-spatial specification estimated by ordinary least squares and conduct tests to detect the evidence of spatiality in the data. The spatial econometric models are then estimated by maximum likelihood and compared to each other via likelihood ratio tests following a general-to-specific model selection procedure. The results indicate that different political and economic environments may lead not only to distinct convergence dynamics but also to dissimilar spatial relations. Spatial error model is the most appropriate specification for 1991-2009 and 2002-2009 periods whereas spatial cross-regressive model better characterizes the data for 1991-2001. The beta-convergence dynamics are observed in all periods, with noticeably higher rates for the post-2002 period.
APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY

Suggestions

Regional cost-of-living differentials, rural-urban migration, and the contribution to economic growth
Saraçoğlu, Dürdane Şirin (Wiley, 2019-04-01)
Using a multi-region, multi-sector dynamic model of an economy with rural-urban migration fit to Turkish data, this paper explores the evolution of each region's output and factor allocation as well as inter-regional disparities that emerge with migration. Migration or residence decision of households is endogenous with respect to regional cost-of-living differentials. Results show that migration slows down and dampens the shift of labour from urban manufacturing to services, despite the increase in demand ...
A new approach to neural trip distribution models: NETDIM
Tapkin, Serkan; Akyilmaz, Ozdemir (Informa UK Limited, 2009-01-01)
This paper develops and presents a new neural network approach to model trip distribution, which is one of the important phases of conventional four-step travel demand modelling. The trip distribution problem has been investigated using back-propagation artificial neural networks in a number of studies and it was concluded that back-propagation artificial neural networks underperform when compared to traditional models. Such underperformance is due to the thresholding of the linearly combined inputs by util...
Social stratification and consumption profiles of Ankara :A case study in Ankara Residential Areas
Akpınar, Figen; Aktüre, Sevgi; Department of City and Regional Planning (2005)
This dissertation attempts to develop a social stratification model considering its spatial dimension for the households in the city of Ankara. The spatiality of social class has rarely been in the agenda of scholars and has not been explored empirically. For this reason, the study aims to test the hypothesis that social segregation in Turkish cities is empirically measurable and manifests itself in the common patterns of behaviours and similar conditioning of existence in the urban space. The focus of atte...
Cultural actors as agents of generating social co-presences within the place: Istanbul's contemporary art scene
KAHYA, GÜZİN YELİZ; Ataöv Demirkan, Anlı (Informa UK Limited, 2019-06-03)
This paper builds on the designation of cultural actors' actions as a decisive factor in the emergence of urban patterns of art-driven social co-presences in Istanbul. It contributes to the creative city debate from the perspective of community development by incorporating the contemporary arts into urban social space making efforts. Methodologically, the locations of art organizations in the contemporary arts scene of Istanbul are approached as an urban pattern of art driven social co-presences that result...
Urban conservation legacy of the Turkish planning system: tracing spatial change in the Ankara Acropolis, from 1923 onwards
Demiroz, Merve; Şahin Güçhan, Neriman (Informa UK Limited, 2020-04-16)
This paper examines the conservation history of the Ankara Acropolis, today named 'Haci-Bayram District', and the spatial change in this historic environment linked to the development of urban conservation since the foundation of the Turkish Republic in 1923. We drew upon archival research such as old maps, aerial images, former analyses, technical plans and project reports, legal decisions by conservation boards and a field survey to illustrate the morphological change triggered by conservation attempts. H...
Citation Formats
P. Akcagun, “Provincial Growth in Turkey: A Spatial Econometric Analysis,” APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY, pp. 271–299, 2017, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/63405.