Modelling Energy Consumption of the Republic of Serbia using Linear Regression and Artificial Neural Network Technique

Download

index.pdf

Date

2019-02-01

Author

Protic, Milan
Fathurrahman, Fahman
Raos, Miomir

Metadata

Show full item record

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Item Usage Stats

295
views

290
downloads

The objectives of the study are twofold. First, we aim to examine the most influential socio-economic indicators to explain energy consumption in Republic of Serbia. The second objective is to develop models that are able to predict the future energy consumption in the Republic of Serbia. This could be the first important step towards proper energy management in the country. Several potential socio-economic indicators are selected to be the independent variables. Regression analysis is conducted to select the most relevant independent variables as well as building the multiple linear regression (MLR) models. In addition, an artificial neural networks (ANN) model is developed as a comparison. Finally, the energy demand is projected to the year 2022. It is found that both models show the declining trend with respect to the current level of energy consumption.

Subject Keywords

General Engineering

URI

https://hdl.handle.net/11511/67253

Journal

TEHNICKI VJESNIK-TECHNICAL GAZETTE

DOI

https://doi.org/10.17559/tv-20180219142019

Collections

Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Article

Suggestions

OpenMETU
Core

Mapping Uncertainty for Risk and Opportunity Assessment in Projects Qazi, Abroon; Dikmen Toker, İrem; Birgönül, Mustafa Talat (Informa UK Limited, 2019-01-01) Risk management is deemed as a critical process toward achieving the objectives of any project. A number of tools and techniques have been developed to help project managers reduce the risk involved in complex projects as risk is generally perceived as a negative event. However, uncertainty, which may lead to risk events may well result in opportunities. With the main aim of managing both risk and opportunity within an interdependent setting of interacting project uncertainties, we present a new thinking, c...
Mathematical modeling of horizontal two-phase flow through fully eccentric annuli Ömürlü, Çiğdem; Özbayoğlu, Evren; Department of Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering (2006) The primary objective of this study is to understand the mechanism, the hydraulics and the characteristics, of the two-phase flow in horizontal annuli. While achieving this goal, both theoretical and experimental works have been conducted extensively. The METU-PETE-CTMFL (Middle East Technical University, Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering Department, Cuttings Transport and Multiphase Flow Laboratory) multiphase flow loop consists of 4.84 m long eccentric horizontal acrylic pipes having 0.1143m inner dia...
Experimental modal analysis of a steel grid frame Kaya, Hüseyin; Türer, Ahmet; Department of Civil Engineering (2004) In this study, experimental modal analysis was studied. Experimental modal analysis includes modal testing, modal parameter estimation and calibration. For this purpose a 4 span skewed steel frame was constructed in Structural Mechanics Laboratory of Civil Engineering Department of METU. The model was transported to Vibration and Acoustic Laboratory of Mechanical Engineering Department of METU. The tests were conducted by cooperation with Vibration and Acoustics Laboratory. Due to lack of experimental modal...
Effectiveness of Conceptual Change Text-oriented Instruction on Students' Understanding of Energy in Chemical Reactions Tastan, Oezgecan; Yalcinkaya, Eylem; Boz, Yezdan (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2008-10-01) The aim of this study is to compare the effectiveness of conceptual change text instruction (CCT) in the context of energy in chemical reactions. The subjects of the study were 60, 10th grade students at a high school, who were in two different classes and taught by the same teacher. One of the classes was randomly selected as the experimental group in which CCT instruction was applied, and the other as the control group in which traditional teaching method was used. The data were obtained through the use o...
An interactive approach for multi-criteria sorting problems Keser, Burak; Köksalan, Murat; Department of Industrial Engineering (2005) This study is concerned with a sorting problem; the placement of alternatives into preference classes in the existence of multiple criteria. An interactive model is developed to address the problem, assuming that the decision maker has an underlying utility function which is linear. A recent methodology, Even-Swaps, which is based on value tradeoff is utilized in the model for both making an estimation of the underlying utility function and generating possible dominance among the alternatives on which it is...

Citation Formats

M. Protic, F. Fathurrahman, and M. Raos, “Modelling Energy Consumption of the Republic of Serbia using Linear Regression and Artificial Neural Network Technique,” TEHNICKI VJESNIK-TECHNICAL GAZETTE, pp. 135–141, 2019, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/67253.