Toward predicting climate change effects on lakes: a comparison of 1656 shallow lakes from Florida and Denmark reveals substantial differences in nutrient dynamics, metabolism, trophic structure, and top-down control

Jeppesen, Erik
Canfield, Daniel E.
Bachmann, Roger W.
Sondergaard, Martin
Havens, Karl E.
Johansson, Liselotte S.
Lauridsen, Torben L.
Tserenpil, Sh
Rutter, Robert P.
Warren, Gary
Ji, Gaohua
Hoyer, Mark
Rapid climate changes may potentially have strong impacts on the ecosystem structure and nutrient dynamics of lakes as well as implications for water quality. We used a space-for-time approach to elucidate such possible effects by comparing data from 1656 shallow lakes (mean depth 100 mu g L-1) in the FL lakes, but coverage was higher in the DK lakes at low TP. We also found lower oxygen saturation in the nutrient-rich FL lakes than in the DK lakes, suggesting lower net ecosystem production in the FL lakes. We discuss our results within the framework of climate warming.


Climate change impacts on lakes: an integrated ecological perspective based on a multi-faceted approach, with special focus on shallow lakes
Jeppesen, Erik; Meerhoff, Mariana; Davidson, Thomas A.; Trolle, Dennis; Sondergaard, Martin; Lauridsen, Torben L.; Beklioğlu, Meryem; Brucet, Sandra; Volta, Pietro; Gonzalez-Bergonzoni, Ivan; Nielsen, Anders (PAGEPress Publications, 2014-01-01)
Freshwater ecosystems and their biodiversity are presently seriously threatened by global development and population growth, leading to increases in nutrient inputs and intensification of eutrophication-induced problems in receiving fresh waters, particularly in lakes. Climate change constitutes another threat exacerbating the symptoms of eutrophication and species migration and loss. Unequivocal evidence of climate change impacts is still highly fragmented despite the intensive research, in part due to the...
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Distributed hydrological models have the potential to provide improved streamflow forecasts along the entire channel network, while also simulating the spatial dynamics of evapotranspiration, soil moisture content, water quality, soil erosion, and land use change impacts. However, they are perceived as being difficult to parameterize and evaluate, thus translating into significant predictive uncertainty in the model results. Although a priori parameter estimates derived from observable watershed characteris...
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Sustainable water resources management requires long time series of streamflow data. In this study, a Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy rule-based (FRB) model is developed to reconstruct long periods of missing daily streamflow data which is a common problem in developing countries. The FRB model uses observations of neighbouring stream gauges, and thus is advantageous regarding data and time requirement compared to physical models. With the proper set of inputs, the FRB model provides better estimates than the hydrologi...
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Li, Lei; Ding, Mingming; Jeppesen, Erik (Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2020-09-01)
Water level fluctuations (WLF), one of the most affected ecological drivers by climate change, are dominant forces controlling submerged macrophyte performance and distribution in freshwater ecosystems. Submerged macrophytes are prominent components of shallow lakes, predicting their response to WLF is therefore crucial for the management and conservation of these valuable and vulnerable ecosystems. We conducted an experiment in 15 outdoor mesocosms to explore the influence of WLF on the performance ofValli...
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King, E. L.; Tuncay, Kağan; Ortoleva, P.; Meile, C. (Elsevier BV, 2010-03-01)
Prediction of the fate and environmental impacts of groundwater contaminants requires the identification of relevant biogeochemical processes and necessitates the macroscopic representation of microbial activity occurring at the microscale. Using a well-studied sandy aquifer environment, we evaluate the importance of pore distribution on organic matter respiration in a porous medium environment by performing spatially explicit simulations of microbial metabolism at the sub-millimeter scale. Model results us...
Citation Formats
E. Jeppesen et al., “Toward predicting climate change effects on lakes: a comparison of 1656 shallow lakes from Florida and Denmark reveals substantial differences in nutrient dynamics, metabolism, trophic structure, and top-down control,” INLAND WATERS, pp. 197–211, 2020, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: