Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps

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Date

2021-04-29

Author

Behrens, Jörn
Løvholt, Finn
Jalayer, Fatemeh
Lorito, Stefano
Salgado-Gálvez, Mario A.
Sørensen, Mathilde
Abadie, Stephane
Aguirre-Ayerbe, Ignacio
Aniel-Quiroga, Iñigo
Babeyko, Andrey
Baiguera, Marco
Basili, Roberto
Belliazzi, Stefano
Grezio, Anita
Johnson, Kendra
Murphy, Shane
Paris, Raphaël
Rafliana, Irina
De Risi, Raffaele
Rossetto, Tiziana
Selva, Jacopo
Taroni, Matteo
Del Zoppo, Marta
Armigliato, Alberto
Bureš, Vladimír
Cech, Pavel
Cecioni, Claudia
Christodoulides, Paul
Davies, Gareth
Dias, Frédéric
Bayraktar, Hafize Başak
González, Mauricio
Gritsevich, Maria
Guillas, Serge
Harbitz, Carl Bonnevie
Kanoğlu, Utku
Macías, Jorge
Papadopoulos, Gerassimos A.
Polet, Jascha
Romano, Fabrizio
Salamon, Amos
Scala, Antonio
Stepinac, Mislav
Tappin, David R.
Thio, Hong Kie
Tonini, Roberto
Triantafyllou, Ioanna
Ulrich, Thomas
Varini, Elisa
Volpe, Manuela
Vyhmeister, Eduardo

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Tsunamis are unpredictable and infrequent but potentially large impact natural disasters. To prepare, mitigate and prevent losses from tsunamis, probabilistic hazard and risk analysis methods have been developed and have proved useful. However, large gaps and uncertainties still exist and many steps in the assessment methods lack information, theoretical foundation, or commonly accepted methods. Moreover, applied methods have very different levels of maturity, from already advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis for earthquake sources, to less mature probabilistic risk analysis. In this review we give an overview of the current state of probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis. Identifying research gaps, we offer suggestions for future research directions. An extensive literature list allows for branching into diverse aspects of this scientific approach.

Subject Keywords

tsunami, Probabilistic method, Hazard, risk, Research gap

URI

https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85105758233&origin=inward
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/90841

Journal

Frontiers in Earth Science

DOI

https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.628772

Collections

Department of Engineering Sciences, Article

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Citation Formats

J. Behrens et al., “Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research Gaps,” Frontiers in Earth Science, pp. 0–0, 2021, Accessed: 00, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85105758233&origin=inward.