PREPARATION OF PEDESTRIAN EVACUATION TIME MAPS FOR SOUTHERN COASTS OF BODRUM PENINSULA, TURKEY

Download

10364264.pdf

Date

2022-1-28

Author

Çelikbaş, Büşra

Metadata

Show full item record

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Item Usage Stats

244
views

174
downloads

Historical records reveal that Turkey coasts faced with a considerable number of tsunamis in its past. Although the tsunamis in the seas surrounding Turkey are not as catastrophic as the ones in Pacific Ocean, still they may cause substantial damage to the highly populated touristic coastal places. Eastern Mediterranean Sea and Aegean Sea are in the seismically active region of Turkey. Therefore, numerous earthquakes and associated tsunamis are threatening the western coasts of Turkey. Recently, two important tsunami events recorded and damaged the coastal areas of Turkey, which are Bodrum-Kos tsunami on 21 July 2017 and Izmir-Samos tsunami on 30 October 2020. These events reminded that the Turkey coasts should be prepared for a tsunami threat. Numerical simulations based on critical worst-case tsunami scenarios are performed with NAMI DANCE numerical model. According to the simulation results, 1956-Amorgos seismic scenario and Gökova seismic and Gökova-North-Datça landslide scenario are selected as critical worst-case scenarios. In this study, evacuation walk time maps are prepared for the highly populated settlements of Bodrum Peninsula by using Pedestrian Evacuation Analyst Tool (PEAT) based on the selected critical scenarios mentioned above. PEAT is a least-cost distance (LCD) evacuation model that estimates evacuation times throughout hazard zone based on elevation, land cover, walking speed and direction of movement. The resultant pedestrian evacuation maps revealed that the evacuation time needed for pedestrian is 8, 6, 5, 4, 3 minutes located in Central Bodrum, Yahşi, Akyarlar-Karaincir-Aspat Bays, Bitez, and Gümbet bays, respectively. The resultant evacuation times are tested and validated by on-site measurements.

Subject Keywords

Tsunami evacuation, Least-cost distance (LCD) model, Pedestrian evacuation, Walk time maps, Pedestrian Evacuation Analysis Tool (PEAT)

URI

https://hdl.handle.net/11511/96213

Collections

Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Thesis

Suggestions

OpenMETU
Core

Pedestrian Tsunami Evacuation Time Maps for Southern Coast of Bodrum Peninsula, Turkey Çelikbaş, Büşra; Tüfekçi Enginar, Duygu; Doğan, Gözde Güney; Süzen, Mehmet Lütfi; Kolat, Çağıl; Yalçıner, Ahmet Cevdet; Necmioğlu, Öcal; Annunziato, Alessandro; Santını, Marzıa; Bali, Siret (2020-05-06) Turkey suffered from devastating earthquakes and faced with a considerable number of tsunamis in its past. Although, tsunamis occurred in Turkey are not catastrophic as the ones in Pacific Ocean, they may still cause substantial damage in highly populated and/or touristic coastal areas. On July 21, 2017 at 22.31 UTC, a strong earthquake in the Gulf of Gokova (Mediterranean Sea) with a magnitude (Mw) of 6.6 (KOERI) was recorded. The earthquake caused a tsunami that affected the southern coast of Bodrum, Turk...
Tsunami forecast modeling for Turkish coastlines Sharghivand, Naeimeh; Kanoğlu, Utku; Department of Engineering Sciences (2014) Turkish coastlines have been exposed to devastating tsunamis in the past. Today, Turkey has densely populated shorelines with substantial touristic activities and critical infrastructures along its shorelines. Tsunami propagation database and tsunami forecast models for the coastal communities are the two major components of the tsunami forecasting methodology which is developed by the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Center for Tsunami Research (NCTR) at the Pacifi c Marine Env...
Assessment of artificial aquifer recharge potential in the Kucuk Menderes River Basin, Turkey Sayit, Ayse Peksezer; Yazıcıgil, Hasan (2012-06-01) The Kucuk Menderes River Basin in western Turkey has been facing continuous groundwater-level decline for decades. Previous studies have suggested that, to avoid aquifer depletion in the basin, artificial recharge structures should be constructed. To assess artificial aquifer recharge potential in one of the subbasins, a two-dimensional (2-D) groundwater model was set up using SEEP/W software. The material functions and parameters used in the model for both saturated and unsaturated conditions were taken fr...
Numerical assessment of tsunami attack on a rubble mound breakwater using OpenFOAM (R) GÜLER, HASAN GÖKHAN; Baykal, Cüneyt; Arikawa, Taro; Yalçıner, Ahmet Cevdet (2018-03-01) A numerical assessment study of tsunami attack on the rubble mound breakwater of Haydarpasa Port, located at the southern entrance of the Istanbul Bosphorus Strait in the Sea of Marmara, Turkey, is carried out in this study using a Volume-Averaged Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes solver, IHFOAM, developed in OpenFOAM (R) environment. The numerical model is calibrated with and validated against the data from solitary wave and tsunami overflow experiments representing tsunami attack. Furthermore, attack of a p...
Sedimentary Paleotsunami Records from the Lagoons along the Southern Coasts of Turkey Avşar, Ulaş; Bozkurt, Erdin; Tokay, Bülent (2018-04-13) The historical records mention 17 damaging tsunamis during the last 2500 years in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, the number of researches presenting complete and continuous sedimentary records of past tsunamis in the region has been highly limited. In order to investigate paleotsunami chronology in the Eastern Mediterranean, a Marie Sklodowska-Curie project titled "Towards a paleotsunami chronology in the southern Aegean and Levan-tine seas, Eastern Mediterranean (EASTMED-PALEOTSUNAMI)" was initiated i...

Citation Formats

B. Çelikbaş, “PREPARATION OF PEDESTRIAN EVACUATION TIME MAPS FOR SOUTHERN COASTS OF BODRUM PENINSULA, TURKEY,” M.S. - Master of Science, Middle East Technical University, 2022.