Impacts of policy changes on Turkish agriculture : an optimization model with maximum entropy

Download

index.pdf

Date

2006

Author

Eruygur, H. Ozan

Metadata

Show full item record

Item Usage Stats

476
views

100
downloads

Turkey moves towards integration with EU since 1963. The membership will involve full liberalization of trade in agricultural products with EU. The impact of liberalization depends on the path of agricultural policies in Turkey and the EU. On the other hand, agricultural protection continues to be the most controversial issue in global trade negotiations of World Trade Organization (WTO). To evaluate the impacts of policy scenarios, an economic modeling approach based on non-linear mathematical programming is appropriate. This thesis analyzes the impacts of economic integration with the EU and the potential effects of the application of a new WTO agreement in 2015 on Turkish agriculture using an agricultural sector model. The basic approach is Maximum Entropy based Positive Mathematical Programming of Heckelei and Britz (1999). The model is based on a static optimization algorithm. Following an economic integration with EU, the net export of crops declines and can not tolerate the boom in net import of livestock products. Overall welfare affect is small. Consumers benefit from declining prices. Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) supports are determinative for the welfare of producers. WTO simulation shows that a 15 percent reduction in Turkey’s binding WTO tariff commitments will increase net meat imports by USD 250 million.

Subject Keywords

Agriculture, Economics

URI

http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12607740/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/16528

Collections

Graduate School of Social Sciences, Thesis

Suggestions

OpenMETU
Core

Sequencing, pace and timing of financial liberalization process in Turkey with implications on the macroeconomic environment Ganioğlu, Aytül; Şenses, Fikret; Department of Economics (2006) This study basically analyzes timing, sequencing and pace of the financial liberalization experience of the Turkish economy in the 1980s and evaluates its implications for the crises in the Turkish economy since the 1990s. The objectives of this study are threefold: Firstly, it aims to reveal the main policy objectives and political factors pushing the government to take capital account liberalization decision in 1989. It is concluded that domestic decision makers have shaped and taken the decision of capit...
Value of Heritage in Turkey: History and Politics of Turkey's World Heritage Nominations Atakuman, Çiğdem (2010-01-01) Following Bulgaria's and Romania's accession into the European Union, EU expansion has reached its final frontier with the process of Turkey's prospective integration, through which both Europe's and Turkey's respective cultural identities have been under negotiation. From a European perspective, Turkey, with its culture, religion, and pseudo-democracy, may appear seriously to challenge some of the most fundamental values of Europeanness. In fact, the very same argument is being made by Turkish politicians ...
The determinants of financial development in Turkey : A principal component analysis Börü, Mesrur; Erol, Işıl; Department of Economics (2009) This thesis investigates the determinants of financial development in Turkey. Principle Component Analysis (PCA) is employed in order to examine the main determinants of financial sector development and shed light on the structure of the financial system in Turkey. The empirical studies on financial development suffer from the measurement problem. This study aims to remedy the measurement problem by providing proxies that explain different aspects of financial development more accurately than other proxies ...
Discussion and evaluation of mining and environment laws of Turkey with regard to eu legislation Şafak, Şükrü; Bilgin, Hasan Aydın; Department of Mining Engineering (2006) Turkey is trying to become a member of the European Union. Within this frame, studies are proceeding for harmonization of the Turkish legislation with the EU legislation. European legislation might have positive or negative impact on the mineral extraction industry and national mining law. Since there is no title directly related to mining policy in the EU legislation the mining policy of EU was evaluated especially under the titles“energy” and “environment”. In this thesis, the Turkish mining regulations a...
Solidarity Clashes with Geopolitics in EU-Turkey Relations Düzgit, Senem; Şenyuva, Özgehan (Springer, London/Berlin , 2022-01-01) COVID-19 hit Turkey and the EU (European Union) at a time when bilateral relations were already strained. Early in March, the two sides were engaged in a bitter conflict regarding migration, among other issues. The dominant perception in the country was that the EU was showing little solidarity with Turkey in managing irregular migration. As the COVID-19 crisis deepened, with both the humanitarian and the economic repercussions taking their toll, bilateral conflicts briefly gave way to acts of...

Citation Formats

H. O. Eruygur, “Impacts of policy changes on Turkish agriculture : an optimization model with maximum entropy ,” Ph.D. - Doctoral Program, Middle East Technical University, 2006.