Turkey - adjusted next generation attenuation models

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2012

Author

Kargıoğlu, Bahadır

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The objective of this study is to evaluate the regional differences between the worldwide based NGA-W1 ground motion models and available Turkish strong ground motion dataset and make the required adjustments in the NGA-W1 models. A strong motion dataset using parameters consistent with the NGA ground motion models is developed by including strong motion data from Turkey. Average horizontal component ground motion is computed for response spectral values at all available periods using the GMRotI50 definition consistent with the NGA-W1 models. A random-effects regression with a constant term only is used to evaluate the systematic differences in the average level of shaking. Plots of residuals are used to evaluate the differences in the magnitude, distance, and site amplification scaling between the Turkish dataset and the NGA-W1 models. Model residuals indicated that the ground motions are overestimated by all 5 NGA-W1 models significantly, especially for small-to-moderate magnitude earthquakes. Model residuals relative to distance measures plots suggest that NGA-W1 models slightly underestimates the ground motions for rupture distances within 100-200 km range. Models including the aftershocks over-predict the ground motions at stiff soil/engineering rock sites. The misfit between the actual data and model predictions are corrected with adjustments functions for each scaling term. Turkey-Adjusted NGA-W1 models proposed in this study are compatible with the Turkish strong ground motion characteristics and preserve the well-constrained features of the global models. Therefore these models are suitable candidates for ground motion characterization and PSHA studies conducted in Turkey.

Subject Keywords

Earth movements., Seismic event location., Seismic prospecting., Earthquake hazard analysis., Earthquake prediction.

URI

http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12614660/index.pdf
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/21728

Collections

Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences, Thesis

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Citation Formats

B. Kargıoğlu, “Turkey - adjusted next generation attenuation models,” M.S. - Master of Science, Middle East Technical University, 2012.