Sensitivity of seismic hazard results to alternative seismic source and magnitude-recurrence models: a case study for Jordan

Date

2015-07-03

Author

Yilmaz, Nazan
Yücemen, Mehmet Semih

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Influence of different models and assumptions with respect to seismic source modelling and magnitude distribution on seismic hazard results is examined, taking Jordan as a case study. Four alternative models, which are based on different combinations of seismic source models and magnitude-recurrence relationships, are considered. Seismic hazard curves obtained at four different sites in Jordan according to these four models are compared. In order to display the magnitude of spatial variation of peak ground acceleration (PGA) values obtained from these models, difference maps for return periods of 475 and 2475years are constructed. Logic tree method is applied to aggregate the results calculated based on different models and assumptions. Then, best estimate seismic hazard maps for PGA and spectral acceleration at 0.2 and 1.0s corresponding to return periods of 475 and 2475years are plotted.

Subject Keywords

Probabilistic seismic hazard, Sensitivity, Seismic source model, Magnitude distribution, Jordan

URI

https://hdl.handle.net/11511/38067

Journal

GEODINAMICA ACTA

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1080/09853111.2014.957506

Collections

Department of Civil Engineering, Article

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Citation Formats

N. Yilmaz and M. S. Yücemen, “Sensitivity of seismic hazard results to alternative seismic source and magnitude-recurrence models: a case study for Jordan,” GEODINAMICA ACTA, pp. 189–202, 2015, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/38067.