Tsunami Hazard Assessment on the Egyptian Coast of the Mediterranean

Zaytsev, A. I.
Babeyko, A. Yu.
Kurkin, A. A.
Yalçıner, Ahmet Cevdet
Pelinovsky, E. N.
Tsunami forecast possibilities for areas with a small base of historical tsunamis have been discussed using the Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) method, which is based on a statistical analysis of a sufficiently large number of real and predictive earthquakes with a subsequent calculation of possible tsunami waves. This method has been used for a long-term tsunami hazard assessment on the Mediterranean coast of Egypt. The predicted wave heights have been shown to vary along the coastline due to the inhomogeneity of the coastal topography and specific features of the tsunami radiation pattern in the sea. The predicted wave heights for 1000 years vary in the range between 0.8 and 3.4 m.


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The tsunami hazard in the Black Sea is discussed by comparing historical, instrumental data and numerical results. There are 22 tsunami events in the Black Sea documented since the first century, and nine of them have occurred in twentieth century. The numerical simulations of tsunami propagation for the 1966 and 1939 events are performed by using the framework of the shallow-water theory. The instrumental data from tide gauge records are used to compare and validate the simulation results and estimate the ...
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The sea surface temperature (SST) variability is clearly affected by global climate patterns, which involve large-scale ocean-atmosphere fluctuations similar to the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). We give mathematical arguments for the SST to be unpredictable over oceans. Sensitivity (unpredictability) is the core ingredient of chaos. Several researches suggested that the ENSO might be chaotic. It was Vallis (Science 232:243-245, 1986) who revealed unpredictability in ENSO by reducing his model to the ...
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Earthquake catalogues which form the main input in seismic hazard analysis generally report earthquake magnitudes in different scales. Magnitudes reported in different scales have to be converted to a common scale while compiling a seismic data base to be utilized in seismic hazard analysis. This study aims at developing empirical relationships to convert earthquake magnitudes reported in different scales, namely, surface wave magnitude, M (S), local magnitude, M (L), body wave magnitude, m (b) and duration...
Citation Formats
A. I. Zaytsev, A. Y. Babeyko, A. A. Kurkin, A. C. Yalçıner, and E. N. Pelinovsky, “Tsunami Hazard Assessment on the Egyptian Coast of the Mediterranean,” IZVESTIYA ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC PHYSICS, pp. 462–469, 2019, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/52438.