Just how prescient are our building damage predictions?

Adapazari was the scene of spectacular structural damage as well as widespread liquefaction after the earthquake of August 17, 1999. Damage patterns observed are re-examined to investigate whether they are indicative of a consistent trend explicable in terms of the building attributes and/or site conditions. 301 buildings that had collapsed fully have been re-evaluated from their design blueprints. An examination based solely on structural attributes, including data from other sets of building assessment projects, leads us to believe that building collapse is perhaps just too involved to reduce to a few simple guilt pointers. Site effects might have played a major role in the observed damage, because only a conflicting trend between structural attributes and the actual damage can be established.


Re-examination of damage distribution in Adapazari: Structural considerations
Yakut, Ahmet; Bakır, Bahadır Sadık; Yilmaz, MT (2005-06-01)
Adapazari was the scene of spectacular structural damage as well as widespread foundation displacement that occurred in the city during the devastating earthquake of August 17, 1999. The damage patterns observed in Adapazari were quite peculiar, so these are re-examined in an effort to answer the question of whether they are indicative of a consistent trend in terms of the building attributes and/or site conditions. For this purpose two databases comprising buildings surveyed in Adapazari after the earthqua...
Seismic performance of mid-rise reinforced concrete buildings in Izmir Bayrakli after the 2020 Samos earthquake
Demirel, Ismail Ozan; Yakut, Ahmet; Binici, Barış (2022-07-01)
© 2022 Elsevier LtdOn October 30th 2020, offshores of Samos Island, Greece was hit by a shallow earthquake of Mw = 6.9 moment magnitude. Located 76 km away from the earthquake's epicenter, the mid-rise reinforced concrete (RC) building stock of the densely populated Izmir Bayrakli district experienced the most severe structural damage. Although the horizontal peak ground acceleration recorded at the site (PGA = 0.11 g) was well below design values recommended by the past and the present Turkish seismic code...
Real-time experimental forecast of the Peruvian tsunami of August 2007 for US coastlines
Wei, Yong; Bernard, Eddie N.; Tang, Liujuan; Weiss, Robert; Titov, Vasily V.; Moore, Christopher; Spillane, Michael; Hopkins, Mike; Kanoğlu, Utku (American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2008-02-27)
At 23: 41 UTC on 15 August 2007, an offshore earthquake of magnitude 8.0 severely damaged central Peru and generated a tsunami. Severe shaking by the earthquake collapsed buildings throughout the region and caused 514 fatalities. The tsunami resulted in three casualties and a representative maximum runup height of similar to 7 m in the near field. The first real-time tsunami data available came from a deep-ocean tsunami detection buoy within 1 hour of tsunami generation. These tsunami data were used to prod...
GIS-based structural performance Assessment of Sakarya City after 1999 Kocaeli-Turkey earthquake from geotechnical and earthquake engineering point of view
Yılmaz, Zeynep; Çetin, Kemal Önder; Department of Civil Engineering (2004)
The August 17, 1999 Kocaeli-Turkey Earthquake (Mw=7.4) caused severe damage to the structures and lifelines in the Marmara region. Soil liquefaction was identified as one of the major causes of this damage. The aim of this study is to determine geotechnical and earthquake engineering factors that contribute to the structural damage observed in Sakarya city after 1999 Kocaeli Earthquake. For this purpose, the results of an extensive field investigation program compiled by General Directorate of Disaster Affa...
Structural rehabilitation of damaged RC buildings after the 1 october 1995 Dinar earthquake
Wasti, ST; Sucuoğlu, Haluk; Utku, M (2001-04-01)
This paper contains technical information related to the Dinar project for the rehabilitation of moderately damaged reinforced concrete buildings after the 1 October 1995 Dinar earthquake. The structural appraisal of the damaged buildings, analytical studies leading to decisions regarding structural rehabilitation or demolition, the supervision on site of the rehabilitation and the overall coordination of the project was entrusted to the Middle East Technical University Earthquake Engineering Research Cente...
Citation Formats
P. Gulkan, B. S. Bakır, A. Yakut, and M. Yilmaz, “Just how prescient are our building damage predictions?,” 2003, vol. 29, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/55103.