Crisis in Slovenia: Roots, effects, prospects

2014-12
Kržan, Marko
The author examines the last 20 years of Slovenian economic history. He argues that export-led economic model based on depreciated domestic currency and capital controls enabled stabilization and convergence with developed EU economies until 2004. The period of debt-led growth characterized by instability and recurrent recession after 2008 is explained by dissolution of the earlier economic model after Slovenia’s accession to EU. A brief comparison is then made that reveals a striking resemblance with the case of Portugal which joined ERM about a decade earlier. From this it is inferred that the crisis is structural and that no simple return to earlier economic models could secure further convergence.

Suggestions

Leading indicators of currency crises: the case of Turkey
Ant, Müge; Ekinci, Nazım; Department of Economics (2002)
This thesis examines the 1994 and 2001 currency crises in Turkey from the perspective of the leading indicators of currency crises. By applying a methodology proposed by Kaminsky, Lizondo and Reinhart in 1998, the study examines the behaviour of the leading indicators in Turkey in the 1990s and determines whether fundamentals were deteriorated on the eve of the crises. The thesis also attempts to identify the variables that are most useful in predicting possible currency crises in Turkey.
Terms of trade and economic development in Turkey since 1970
Tuğan, Mustafa; Somel, A.muhittin Cem; Department of Economics (2006)
In this thesis, the terms of trade changes in Turkey since 1970 are analyzed. In the 1970s, Turkey faced strong terms of trade declines mainly due to two oil price shocks. Rapid diversification of Turkish exports into manufactures was instrumental in avoiding further declines in its terms of trade in the 1980s. However, the slow pace of the diversification into more skill- and technology-intensive manufactures in Turkey combined with the fallacy of composition problem in low-tech, labourintensive manufactur...
Financial development, financial openness and growth: an empirical investigation
Ünaldı Akgün, Burçin; Özmen, Erdal; Department of Economics (2011)
The economic literature posits that a well-functioning economy requires a well-regulated financial system, and a sound financial system is essential to the fundamentals of an economy, however, even the most influential economists disagree sharply about the role of the finance-growth relationship in economic development. One of the most important questions concerning financial openness is whether it spurs long-run economic growth, and if yes, do these benefits outweigh the risks for developing countries. In ...
Spatial-temporal fixed and hegemonic transitions in the historical capitalism
Taşkesen, Suat; Tayfur, Mehmet Fatih; Department of International Relations (2010)
This thesis analyzes the historical capitalism in a historical context. ccumulation cycles, hegemonic transitions, and their interrelated structures n the historical capitalism will be discussed alongside inspired prose, and completed final drafts. The thesis will also trace the causes and effects of accumulation cycles and hegemonic transitions and will seek to answer questions such as how and why those cycles and transitions ocur, what are the determinants and how and why those determinants effect those p...
Financial crisis in Southern Europe in comparison with Eastern Europe
Aygül, Cenk (Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi (Ankara, Turkey), 2014-12)
This paper examines the recent financial crisis in Southern Europe in comparison with Eastern Europe. The findings of the paper are as follows: (i) Firstly, the economic space of the EU can no longer be taken as homogeneous, and the core-periphery structures must be examined more thoroughly; (ii) Second, while the crisis is seen everywhere in Europe as it is attested by the low growth rates in the 2000s, the fates of Eastern and Southeastern Europe have diverged from each other, for they have different ways...
Citation Formats
M. Kržan, “Crisis in Slovenia: Roots, effects, prospects,” ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi, vol. 41, no. 3, pp. 323–348, 2014, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: http://www2.feas.metu.edu.tr/metusd/ojs/index.php/metusd/article/view/726.