Exchange Rate Uncertainty in Turkey and its Impact on Export Volume

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2005-6

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KASMAN, Adnan
KASMAN, Saadet

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This paper investigates the impact of real exchange rate volatility on Turkey’s exports to its most important trading partners using quarterly data for the period 1982 to 2001. Cointegration and error correction modeling approaches are applied, and estimates of the cointegrating relations are obtained using Johansen’s multivariate procedure. Estimates of the short-run dynamics are obtained through the error correction technique. Our results indicate that exchange rate volatility has a significant positive effect on export volume in the long run. This result may indicate that firms operating in a small economy, like Turkey, have little option for dealing with increased exchange rate risk.

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http://www2.feas.metu.edu.tr/metusd/ojs/index.php/metusd/article/view/48/48
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/58491

Journal

ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi

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Department of Economics, Article

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Citation Formats

A. KASMAN and S. KASMAN, “Exchange Rate Uncertainty in Turkey and its Impact on Export Volume,” ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi, vol. 32, no. 1, pp. 58–41, 2005, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: http://www2.feas.metu.edu.tr/metusd/ojs/index.php/metusd/article/view/48/48.