Show/Hide Menu
Hide/Show Apps
Logout
Türkçe
Türkçe
Search
Search
Login
Login
OpenMETU
OpenMETU
About
About
Open Science Policy
Open Science Policy
Open Access Guideline
Open Access Guideline
Postgraduate Thesis Guideline
Postgraduate Thesis Guideline
Communities & Collections
Communities & Collections
Help
Help
Frequently Asked Questions
Frequently Asked Questions
Guides
Guides
Thesis submission
Thesis submission
MS without thesis term project submission
MS without thesis term project submission
Publication submission with DOI
Publication submission with DOI
Publication submission
Publication submission
Supporting Information
Supporting Information
General Information
General Information
Copyright, Embargo and License
Copyright, Embargo and License
Contact us
Contact us
Analysis of drought events in North Cyprus
Download
12624054.pdf
Date
2019-9
Author
Khan, Sana
Metadata
Show full item record
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License
.
Item Usage Stats
269
views
410
downloads
Cite This
Drought is a temporary climatic condition which arises due to lack of precipitation. It has become an important natural phenomenon for North Cyprus due to its semi-arid climate and with vulnerabilities culminating as a result of climate change there is a dire need to keep a good track of such extreme climate events for sustainable water resource management. The island is facing serious water shortages, and for Mediterranean region climate change impacts on water resources has become a pressing issue, hence, there is a need to understand these relationships which will aid in planning of hydroclimatic and agroclimatic designs. To achieve this objective, the study aims to analyze spatial-temporal characteristics of drought events for period 1978-2015 using monthly rainfall data from 33 stations across North Cyprus. In this study, number of commonly used drought indices such as Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), Z-Score Index (ZSI), Rainfall Departure from Mean (RD), China Z- Index (CZI), and Rainfall Deciles based Drought Index (RDDI) are calculated. The comparison of these indices at multiple time steps is achieved which showed CZI, SPI and ZSI are highly interchangeable and rain months (November, December, January, February and March) alone can best describe annual droughts for this region. SPI being the widely accepted drought index and giving similar results to other indices is selected to compute the drought characteristics indicating severity, magnitude, duration, intensity, and frequency of historical droughts in the region. Results showed that the region is mostly characterized by droughts of mild severity and short duration. Severity-Duration-Frequency (SDF) relationships are studied and isoseverity maps are developed for North Cyprus which indicated increasing drought severities with decreasing frequencies and also observed increasing severity trends towards north coast, north western peninsula and central Meseoria plain region of the country. In addition, teleconnections between drought indices and Ocean Atmosphere Circulations, such as El Nino Sothern Oscillation (ENSO), North Atlantic Oscillations (NAO), Arctic Oscillations (AO), North Sea Caspian Pattern (NCP) and Western Mediterranean Oscillation (WeMO), is analyzed to evaluate and predict impact of large scale climate variabilities on the drought occurrence. The correlations based on lag times showed ENSO at lag of three years is linked to drought occurrence in North Cyprus. The results of this study are beneficial for decision makers for planning and design of hydrological structures and will ultimately help in the mitigation of such extreme events.
Subject Keywords
Drought
,
Climate Change
,
North Cyprus
,
Drought Indices
,
Severity
,
Magnitude
,
Duration
,
Intensity
,
Frequency
,
Teleconnections
,
Ocean Atmosphere Circulations
,
Lag Time
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/69702
Collections
Northern Cyprus Campus, Thesis
Suggestions
OpenMETU
Core
Analysis of the 2007 and 2013 Droughts in Turkey by NOAH Hydrological Model
Bulut, Burak; Yılmaz, Mustafa Tuğrul (2016-10-01)
Analysis of drought, which is classified as a natural disaster, is globally considering the damage it gives. As a result detection of its characteristics is essential for understanding and reducing the effects of this natural disaster and for imminent prediction. In this study, soil moisture estimates obtained from NOAH hydrological model and normalized difference vegetation index obtained from MODIS observations are used to analysis the recent droughts in Turkey. With the utilization of these parameters th...
Assessment of different rainfall products in flood simulations
Özkaya, Arzu; Akyürek, Sevda Zuhal; Department of Civil Engineering (2017)
Floods happening due to heavy rainfall are one of the most widespread natural hazards. To predict such events, accurate rainfall products and well calibrated hydrologic models are essential especially in urban settlements for life savings. With the objective of assessing the rain detection potential of rainfall data products, several hourly rainfall datasets are used as forcing inputs in two hydrologic models. Physic based distributed model, WRF-Hydro, and conceptual based lumped model, HEC HMS, are used to...
Extreme precipitation and drought monitoring in northeastern China using general circulation models and pan evaporation-based drought indices
Faiz, Muhammad Abrar; Liu, Dong; Fu, Qiang; Wrzesinski, Dariusz; Baig, Faisal; Nabi, Ghulam; Khan, Muhammad Imran; Li, Tianxiao; Cui, Song (2018-01-01)
The evaluation of precipitation extremes and the usage of appropriate drought indices are very important for assessment of natural disasters (i.e. floods and drought). For this purpose, we calculated values of indices that reflect precipitation extremes and 3 drought indices, i.e. the composite index (CI), standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI), and reconnaissance drought index (RDI), with reformulation of pan evaporation and Penman-Monteith equations (denoted as CI-Pan, RDI-Pan, RDI-PM,...
Drought analysis using CORDEX simulations over the mediterranean climate regions of Turkey
Poyraz, Anıl Yıldırım; Yücel, İsmail; Department of Civil Engineering (2018)
Drought has been a significant result of climate change that causes variance on precipitation regimes. Mediterranean region is one of the hotspots of the world in this respect. Dry summers and rainy winters -the characteristic of this climate type- makes this region more vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Hence, it is important to monitor drought considering the increasing population and economic facilities in the regions that are under Mediterranean climate conditions in Turkey. This study aims t...
ASSESSING DROUGHT BY STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX WITH OBSERVATION AND CORDEX DATA IN TURKEY’S MEDITERRANEAN REGION
Poyraz, Anıl; Yücel, İsmail (2018-06-02)
This study aims to assess the trends in drought by using the Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) for 14 stations from Mediterranean climate region of Turkey. The SPI values for different timescales - from 1month to 1 year - are estimated for past and future by using the observed, uncorrected and bias corrected model data. The model data that correspond the grids which consist these 14 stations was obtained from 12 different climate models on CORDEX project. Bias correction method was applied using equival...
Citation Formats
IEEE
ACM
APA
CHICAGO
MLA
BibTeX
S. Khan, “Analysis of drought events in North Cyprus,” M.S. - Master of Science, Middle East Technical University, 2019.