Mathematical modeling for energy policy analysis

Kat, Bora
As is now generally accepted, climate change and environmental degradation has largely been triggered by carbon emissions and energy modeling for policy analysis has therefore attained renewed urgency. It is important for governments to satisfy emission targets and timetables set down by international agreements without disregarding macroeconomic concerns and restrictions. In this study, we present a large-scale nonlinear optimization model that allows the analysis of macroeconomic and multi-sectoral energy policies in respect of technological and environmental options and scenarios. The model consists of a detailed representation of energy activities and disaggregates the rest of the economy into five main sectors. Economy-wide solutions are obtained by computing a utility maximizing aggregate consumption bundle on the part of a representative household. Intersectoral and foreign transaction balances are maintained using a modified accounting matrix. The model also computes the impact on macroeconomic variables of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission strategies and abatement schemes. As such the model is capable of producing solutions that can be used to benchmark regulatory instruments and policies. Several scenarios are presented for the case of Turkey in which the impact of a nuclear power programme and power generation coupled with carbon-capture-and-storage schemes are investigated as well as setting quotas on total and sectoral GHG emissions.


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Yıldırım, Tankut; Tanrısever, Oktay F; Department of Eurasian Studies (2012)
This thesis aims to examine internal and external parameters influencing Russian energy policy between 2000 and 2012. In this respect first energy policy of the Soviet Union and Russian Federation in 1990’s are evaluated. In this framework it is assumed that old experiences and structures have influence on 2000’s Russian Energy Policy. Russian energy profile is accepted not only a strength of Russia but also a source of limitation in Russian energy policy, it influences domestic and foreign energy policies ...
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Ediger, Volkan S.; Akar, Sertac; Ugurlu, Berkin (Elsevier BV, 2006-12-01)
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Kumbaroglu, GS (1997-10-16)
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CO2 emissions vs. CO2 responsibility: An input-output approach for the Turkish economy
Tunç, Gül İpek; Akbostancı Özkazanç, Elif (Elsevier BV, 2007-02-01)
Recently, global warming (greenhouse effect) and its effects have become one of the hottest topics in the world agenda. There have been several international attempts to reduce the negative effects of global warming. The Kyoto Protocol can be cited as the most important agreement which tries to limit the countries' emissions within a time horizon. For this reason, it becomes important to calculate the greenhouse gas emissions of countries. The aim of this study is to estimate the amount Of CO2-the most impo...
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Gumrah, F.; Balan, H. O.; Atay, M. U. (Informa UK Limited, 2008-01-01)
CO2 can be sequestered in coal seams considering the environmental issues. By means of injecting CO2 into the coal seams, both sequestration of CO2 and the enhanced recovery of methane inside the coal seam can be realized. One-dimensional simulation regarding the binary CO2/CH4 flow in a coal seam core was studied by using an analytical solution method. The simulation results were compared with experimental data by matching the effluent concentrations of CO2 and CH4. The transport parameters such as longitu...
Citation Formats
B. Kat, “Mathematical modeling for energy policy analysis,” Ph.D. - Doctoral Program, Middle East Technical University, 2011.