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Long term electrical supply-demand balance of Turkey (2013-2023)

Polater, Hüseyin Murat
In this thesis long term supply demand balance of Turkey is studied. Initially long term electrical energy demand and peak power demand forecasts are made. For forecasting, two different methods are used. First method is Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and second method is Time Series Method. Then electrical energy demand forecast by sector is done. Finally by considering the construction times of new generation plants, electrical energy production capacity and peak power production capacity projections are done. By comparing the capacity projection with demand forecast, long term supply demand balance of Turkey is examined