Show/Hide Menu
Hide/Show Apps
Logout
Türkçe
Türkçe
Search
Search
Login
Login
OpenMETU
OpenMETU
About
About
Open Science Policy
Open Science Policy
Open Access Guideline
Open Access Guideline
Postgraduate Thesis Guideline
Postgraduate Thesis Guideline
Communities & Collections
Communities & Collections
Help
Help
Frequently Asked Questions
Frequently Asked Questions
Guides
Guides
Thesis submission
Thesis submission
MS without thesis term project submission
MS without thesis term project submission
Publication submission with DOI
Publication submission with DOI
Publication submission
Publication submission
Supporting Information
Supporting Information
General Information
General Information
Copyright, Embargo and License
Copyright, Embargo and License
Contact us
Contact us
Probabilistic modeling of plane failure in rock slopes
Date
2003-07-09
Author
DUZGUN, HSB
Yücemen, Mehmet Semih
Karpuz, Celal
Metadata
Show full item record
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License
.
Item Usage Stats
185
views
0
downloads
Cite This
The basic aim of this study is to formulate a probabilistic method by which sources of uncertainties can be taken into account and systematically analyzed in dealing with the rock slope stability problem. For this purpose, the advanced first-order second-moment (AFOSM) method and the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) procedure are used to model the plane failure problem in rock slopes. The modeling of plane failure by the AFOSM and the MCS methods requires the understanding of the basic mechanism of plane failure, generation of a failure function, identification of probabilistic and deterministic parameters and assessment of the uncertainties involved in the probabilistic parameters. The peak friction angle of the rock discontinuity in the failure function is treated as the main uncertain parameter. In both of the methods, the uncertainties associated with the peak friction angle of rock discontinuities are assessed based on a model developed within the framework of first-order second-moment approach. The probability of failure values from both MCS and AFOSM methods are evaluated for the normal and lognormal basic variables considering the stability of slope of Kanmantoo Mine in South Australia. A sensitivity analysis, based on AFOSM model with lognormal basic variables, is performed in order to investigate the influence of the variability in peak friction angle on the probability of failure results by considering various values for the coefficient of variation.
Subject Keywords
Advanced first-order second-moment
,
Monte Carlo simulation
,
Rock slope
,
Uncertainty analysis
URI
https://hdl.handle.net/11511/55437
Conference Name
9th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering
Collections
Department of Civil Engineering, Conference / Seminar
Suggestions
OpenMETU
Core
Probabilistic Assessment of Overtopping Reliability of a Dam
Yanmaz, Ali Melih (2006-05-23)
Probabilistic methods, which consider resistance and load parameters as random variables, are more realistic than conventional deterministic methods for determining the safety level of a dam. This study is based on a probabilistic assessment of overtopping reliability of a flood detention dam. In the analysis, the inflow hydrograph parameters and the initial reservoir level prior to the allocation of the flood in the reservoir are accepted as random variables. A bivariate flood frequency analysis is perform...
Probabilistic Slope Stability Analyses Using Limit Equilibrium and Finite Element Methods
Akbas, Burak; Huvaj Sarıhan, Nejan (2015-10-16)
This paper compares the results of different probabilistic approaches and emphasizes the necessity of probabilistic analyses in slope stability studies. To do that, Limit Equilibrium Method (LEM) and Finite Element Method (FEM) are utilized and their outputs are compared in terms of probability of failure (PF), reliability index (RI), factor of safety (FS) and the failure surface. Lastly, concept of Random Finite Element Method (RFEM) is studied and effects of spatial correlation distance are investigated.
Three dimensional finite element modeling for the laterally loaded passive pile behavior
Ekici, Anıl; Huvaj Sarıhan, Nejan; Department of Civil Engineering (2013)
In this study, some of the factors affecting the slope stabilizing pile response have been investigated by means of three dimensional finite element solution using PLAXIS 3D software. Three full scaled field experiments were modeled for the verification of the proposed 3D models. It was concluded that PLAXIS 3D can successfully predict the measured pile deflection and force distributions. Afterwards, a parametric study was carried out. Two series of analyses (i) studying the effect of the pile embedment dep...
Assessment of buried pipeline performance during the 1999 Duzce Earthquake
Yargıcı, Volkan; Çetin, Kemal Önder; Yücemen, M. Semih; Department of Civil Engineering (2003)
The goal of this study is to develop probabilistically based empirical correlations for seismic performance assessment of buried pipelines. Within the scope of these research efforts, pipeline performance case histories have been compiled from Duzce city after Duzce earthquake. The characteristics of Duzce water supply and distribution system with the earthquake damage on the system were studied. Correlations of the damage patterns with the water distribution system, earthquake and geotechnical characterist...
A Case study for calculating and reporting the uncertainty budget of 1 and 2 dimensional combined hydraulic model
Gül, Uğraş Sidar; Altan Sakarya, Ayşe Burcu; Department of Civil Engineering (2019)
This study aims to suggest a framework to quantify and report the uncertainty budget of a 1 & 2 dimensional hydraulic model of five possible error sources by using ISO GUM method. The river engineers take into account several considerations when they design the riverbeds; one of the main considerations is the flood protection aspect of the riverbed, to asses that a hydraulic model is usually prepared. However, results generated from the hydraulic models are not exempt from errors. The ISO GUM method provide...
Citation Formats
IEEE
ACM
APA
CHICAGO
MLA
BibTeX
H. DUZGUN, M. S. Yücemen, and C. Karpuz, “Probabilistic modeling of plane failure in rock slopes,” presented at the 9th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, SAN FRANCISCO, CA, 2003, Accessed: 00, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://hdl.handle.net/11511/55437.