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Recent Submissions

Volatility regime probabilities and the horizon profile of tail risk Atak Atalık, Alev (2026-10-01) We introduce Volatility Regime Risk (VRR), a real-time, model-implied regime risk measure that combines the filtered probability of being in the low-volatility regime today with the learned probability of moving to the hig...
Collusion-Minimized TLS Attestation Protocol for Decentralized Applications Şen, Uğur; Osmanoǧlu, Murat; Yayla, Oğuz; Selçuk, Ali Aydn; Doğanaksoy, Ali (2026-09-01) Transport Layer Security (TLS) attestation protocols are a key building block for decentralized applications that require authenticated off-chain data. However, existing Designed Commitment TLS (DCTLS) constructions rely o...
Anonymous implementation Barlo, Mehmet; Dalkıran, Nuh Aygün; Donmez, Muhammed (2026-08-01) This paper investigates full implementation under complete information, incorporating fairness considerations when designing mechanisms. In particular, we propose two notions of full implementation: anonymous implementatio...
Human capital inequality in Turkey, 1950-2020 Filiztekin, Alpay (ODTÜ, 2026-6-25) This paper examines human capital inequality in Turkey over the past seventy years, focusing on provincial and gender differences. Despite notable improvements in average years of schooling and a decline in schooling inequ...
Tüketicilerin marka algılarının sadakat üzerindeki etkisinde güvenin aracı rolü Özdemir, Zeynep (2026-6-25) Bu çalışmanın amacı, elektronik ağızdan ağıza pazarlama, marka imajı, marka kimliği ve algılanan kalite unsurları ile marka sadakati arasındaki ilişkide marka güveninin aracı (mediator role) etkilerini ortaya çıkarmaktır. ...
Beyond the click: Neoliberal governmentality and platform delivery labor in Türkiye’s on-demand economy Kıyak, Zeynep (ODTÜ, 2026-6-25) This article examines platform governance in the context of platform delivery work in Türkiye through a Foucauldian governmentality perspective. It argues that governance operates through a set of productive power techniqu...
Jodi Dean (2025), Capital’s Grave Neofeudalism and the New Class Struggle( Kitap İncelemesi) Eroğuz, Kaan (ODTÜ, 2026-6-25) Küresel kapitalist sistem, 1970’li yıllardan itibaren teknolojik gelişmelerin etkisiyle derin bir dönüşüm sürecine girmiştir. Bu dönemde inovasyon ve yapay zekâ teknolojilerine yönelen yatırımlar, üretken yatırımların yeri...
NATO and the EU: competing or complementary visions of global hegemony? Akar, Mehmet (ORTA DOĞU TEKNİK ÜNİVERSİTESİ, 2026-6-25) This study examines whether the strategic visions of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the European Union (EU) are competitive or complementary in shaping Western hegemony amid rising multipolarity. It cont...
Teknolojinin silahlaşması: Yapay Zekâ ve yarı iletken rekabetinde güç, güvenlik ve orta güçler Arslan, Uğur (ODTÜ, 2026-6-25) Bu makale, yapay zekâ ve yarı iletken teknolojilerinin uluslararası düzenin temellerini etkileyen yapısal unsurlar hâline geldiğini ileri sürmektedir. ABD- Çin rekabeti bağlamında, çalışma; teknolojiye erişim, tedarik zinc...
Bidding into bankruptcy: How auction order affects overbidding and losses Büyükboyacı Hanay, Mürüvvet İlknur; Gunay, Hikmet; İntişah, Merve (2026-06-01) Global bidders in sequential auctions face exposure risk when bidding for complementary goods whose values differ in uncertainty. We study how auction order affects this risk in a sequential second-price auction with heter...
Culture and Antimicrobial Consumption: Sector- and Class-Specific Differences in Country-Level Associations Across Europe Lajunen, Timo J.; Gaygısız Lajunen, Esma; GAYGISIZ, ÜMMÜGÜLSÜM; Sullman, Mark J. M. (2026-02-01) Background: Antimicrobial consumption (AMC) varies widely across European countries, and cross-national studies have linked this variation to cultural values. However, two critical gaps remain: it is unclear whether these ...
Machine learning-based estimation of Calcaneus volume using plain radiographic morphometry Utkan, Ali; Doğan, Emre; Özkurt, Bülent; UZ, AYSUN (2026-01-01) BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined calcaneal volume because of the difficulty of calculating it. The aim of this study was to generate a formula that can provide an approximate calcaneal volume through simple mathematic...
Navigating From Negative to Positive Peace: A Quantitative Analysis of Youth Attitudes in Cyprus Dizdaroğlu, Cihan; Özen, İlhan Can; Şenyuva, Özgehan (2026-01-01) The Cyprus problem has persisted for over half a century, resulting in a state of negative peace rather than positive peace based on social integration and mutual trust. Although today’s youth have grown up within this div...
Earned entitlements and risky investments in bargaining: an experiment Büyükboyacı Hanay, Mürüvvet İlknur; Karagözoğlu, Emin; Küçükşenel, Serkan (2026-01-01) In various organizational settings, a team member is given the authority to make an investment decision that influences the value of the jointly produced surplus. We experimentally investigate the effect of asymmetric stat...
Employee age and experience as determinants of new-firm survival: evidence from Turkish matched employer–employee data Taymaz, Erol; Yilmaz, Kamil (2026-01-01) This paper studies how the prior experience and age composition of a startup’s founding workforce jointly shape its survival, using matched employer–employee data covering the universe of Turkish firms from 2007 to 2023. W...
Risk, Ambiguity, and the gender gap in tournament entry Boosey, Luke; Büyükboyacı Hanay, Mürüvvet İlknur; İntişah, Merve (2026-01-01) Experimental evidence suggests that gender differences in tournament entry may be driven by differences in competitiveness, overconfidence, and risk or ambiguity attitudes. We examine the influence of risk, ambiguity, and ...
Optimal redistribution with labor supply dependent productivity Gürer, Eren; Weichenrieder, Alfons J. (2026-01-01) We study optimal nonlinear income taxation when productivity depends negatively on labor supply (labor-supply-dependent productivity, LSDP). Relative to a benchmark model with fixed productivities, we find that LSDP leads ...
Financialization, governance, and economic growth Özmen, Erdal; Taşdemir, Fatma (2026-01-01) We investigate the relationship between financialization and growth in advanced economies (AE) and emerging market and developing economies (EMDE). Our dynamic panel threshold estimation results suggest that the growth-enh...
ODTÜ Gelişme Dergisi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi,, ODTÜ (İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, 2025-12)
A time series analysis of Turkish trade patterns at the sector level, 1969-2001 Erlat, Güzin; Erlat, Haluk (ODTÜ, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, 2025-12) We investigate whether the pattern of Turkish trade has a persistent nature or is dynamic, by considering 5-digit, Rev.3 trade data for the period 1969-2001 and assessing the performance of sectors as to whether their dist...

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